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Eerste Divisie Round 12 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Almere City FCHomeWLLWW
2:3Half-time 1:0
RodaAwayDWWWW
522523
Almere City FC winDrawRoda win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.01
1.82 : 1.19
Favourite
52%
Almere City FC
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Almere City FC vs Roda

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.883.703.611.552.331.502.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Almere City FC to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Almere City FC vs Roda are 1.88 for Almere City FC at 1xBet, 3.70 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.61 for Roda at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

52%

Our prediction

Almere City FC to win
LeanExpected goals 1.82 : 1.19-3.2% against the best price
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw
76% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Almere City FC, full-time Almere City FC
33% chance3.07fair

Almere City FC vs Roda prediction

Almere City FC vs Roda prediction, who wins and at what price

Almere City FC are a narrow favourite in the Almere City FC vs Roda prediction, rated 52% to win this Eerste Divisie match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Roda sit at 24% and the draw at 25%.

Almere City FC are expected to score 1.82 and Roda 1.19, so the total line is 3.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 61%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Almere City FC to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.88 with 1xBet the market prices it at 53%, against 52% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Almere City FC or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.25.

Form check: Almere City FC have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 6 conceded, Roda 4 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 5.

Almere City FC vs Roda goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.55.

The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Almere City FC scoring in 84% of runs and Roda in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Almere City FC and 16% for Roda.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.7%, then 2-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Almere City FC, full-time Almere City FC leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Almere City FC vs Roda

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 25% / 24% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Almere City FC to win52%1.88
Draw25%3.70
Roda to win24%3.61
Almere City FC, draw no bet69%fair 1.46
Roda, draw no bet32%fair 3.17

Double chance

Almere City FC or draw76%1.25
Roda or draw49%1.83
Almere City FC or Roda (no draw)75%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.55
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals43%2.33
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.50
Not both teams to score39%2.42

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Almere City FC to score84%fair 1.19
Roda to score70%fair 1.44
Almere City FC clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Roda clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Almere City FC to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Roda to win to nil15%fair 6.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.7%
1-09%
2-08.2%
1-26.4%
3-15.9%

Half-time / full-time

Almere City FC / Almere City FC32.6%
Draw / Almere City FC16.5%
Roda / Roda14.1%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Roda9%

Questions about Almere City FC vs Roda

Almere City FC or Roda: which side does the model back?

The model gives Almere City FC the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Almere City FC vs Roda?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Almere City FC vs Roda?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Almere City FC find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Roda in 70%.

What time does Almere City FC vs Roda kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Almere City FC v RodaAlmere City FC to win, 52%
1.88Bet