Eerste Divisie
FC VolendamHomeWDWLL
1:2Half-time 1:0
De GraafschapAwayWLDLW522028
FC Volendam winDrawDe Graafschap win
FC VolendamHomeWDWLLDe GraafschapAwayWLDLW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.09 2.38 : 1.71
- Favourite
- 52% FC Volendam
- Over 2.5 goals
- 77% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 75% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.91 | 4.20 | 3.15 | 1.23 | 3.42 | 1.27 | 3.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.94 | 4.08 | 3.23 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.30 | 3.38 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.90 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.26 | 3.55 | 1.27 | 3.30 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.94 | 4.08 | 3.23 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.32 | 3.22 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.94 | 4.08 | 3.23 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.32 | 3.22 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Volendam to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best FC Volendam price at 1.94, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and Melbet have De Graafschap longest at 3.23.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.29 (22Bet) and under 2.5 3.55 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.32 (Melbet) and no 3.42 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
FC Volendam to win
Double chanceFC Volendam or De Graafschap (no draw)
80% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
77% chance1.29
BTTSBoth teams to score
75% chance1.32
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance12.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Volendam, full-time FC Volendam
34% chance2.92fair
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction, who wins and at what price
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction for the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes FC Volendam a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 20% and De Graafschap at 27%.
FC Volendam are expected to score 2.38 and De Graafschap 1.71, so the total line is 4.09 goals; over 2.5 lands at 77% and BTTS at 75%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is fC Volendam to win at 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.94 at Melbet, which implies 52%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
FC Volendam or De Graafschap (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.21.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
FC Volendam average 2.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, De Graafschap 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines FC Volendam vs De Graafschap reads 92% for over 1.5, 77% for over 2.5 and 58% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 23%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 77%, best priced 1.29 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 75%, built from FC Volendam scoring in 91% of runs and De Graafschap in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for FC Volendam and 9% for De Graafschap.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 75%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.1%, followed by 2-2 (6.9%) and 1-1 (6.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Volendam, full-time FC Volendam is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 84%.
Every market for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC Volendam to win52%1.94
Draw20%4.20
De Graafschap to win27%3.23
FC Volendam, draw no bet66%fair 1.52
De Graafschap, draw no bet34%fair 2.91
Double chance
FC Volendam or draw73%1.31
De Graafschap or draw48%1.80
FC Volendam or De Graafschap (no draw)80%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.29
Over 3.5 goals58%fair 1.71
Over 4.5 goals39%fair 2.57
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 2.5 goals23%3.55
Under 3.5 goals42%fair 2.40
BTTS
Both teams to score75%1.32
Not both teams to score25%3.42
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 first-half goals55%fair 1.82
Second-half goal90%fair 1.12
Team goals
FC Volendam to score91%fair 1.10
De Graafschap to score82%fair 1.22
FC Volendam clean sheet18%fair 5.52
De Graafschap clean sheet9%fair 10.75
FC Volendam to win to nil17%fair 6.02
De Graafschap to win to nil9%fair 11.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.1%
2-26.9%
1-16.8%
3-16.4%
1-25.8%
3-25.5%
Half-time / full-time
FC Volendam / FC Volendam34.2%
De Graafschap / De Graafschap16.4%
Draw / FC Volendam14.4%
Draw / Draw9%
Draw / De Graafschap8.6%
Questions about FC Volendam vs De Graafschap
Who is favourite in FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
The model gives FC Volendam the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 77% backs the same picture with less variance.
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 75%. FC Volendam find the net in 91% of simulated matches and De Graafschap in 82%.
What time does FC Volendam vs De Graafschap kick off?
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap starts at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.