Eerste Divisie
De GraafschapHomeWLDLW
1:1Half-time 1:0
WaalwijkAwayLDDDL392239
De Graafschap winDrawWaalwijk win
De GraafschapHomeWLDLWWaalwijkAwayLDDDL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.57 1.78 : 1.79
- Favourite
- 39% Waalwijk
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.88 | 2.31 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.33 | 3.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Waalwijk to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk are 2.53 for De Graafschap at 1xBet, 3.88 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.31 for Waalwijk at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.33 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.33 (1xBet) and no 3.02 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
78%
Our prediction
De Graafschap or Waalwijk (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.33
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.33
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Waalwijk, full-time Waalwijk
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk prediction
Our De Graafschap vs Waalwijk prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the De Graafschap vs Waalwijk prediction for Friday, 23 October 2026: 39% home, 22% draw and 39% away in the Eerste Divisie. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 3.57 in total, split 1.78 to De Graafschap and 1.79 to Waalwijk. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 71%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk is de Graafschap or Waalwijk (no draw), a 78% chance. At 1.21 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 78% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on De Graafschap vs Waalwijk.
Over the last 5 matches De Graafschap stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Waalwijk show 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines De Graafschap vs Waalwijk reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.33 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 71%, built from De Graafschap scoring in 83% of runs and Waalwijk in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for De Graafschap and 17% for Waalwijk.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, followed by 1-2 (8%) and 2-1 (8%).
With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Waalwijk, full-time Waalwijk is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk
The grid built from 1.78 and 1.79 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
De Graafschap to win39%2.53
Draw22%3.88
Waalwijk to win39%2.31
De Graafschap, draw no bet50%fair 2.01
Waalwijk, draw no bet50%fair 1.99
Double chance
De Graafschap or draw61%1.53
Waalwijk or draw61%1.45
De Graafschap or Waalwijk (no draw)78%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.33
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.09
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.75
Under 2.5 goals31%2.83
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
BTTS
Both teams to score71%1.33
Not both teams to score29%3.02
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.10
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
De Graafschap to score83%fair 1.20
Waalwijk to score83%fair 1.20
De Graafschap clean sheet17%fair 5.99
Waalwijk clean sheet17%fair 5.92
De Graafschap to win to nil15%fair 6.49
Waalwijk to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19%
1-28%
2-18%
2-27.1%
0-15%
1-05%
Half-time / full-time
Waalwijk / Waalwijk23.9%
De Graafschap / De Graafschap23.6%
Draw / Waalwijk12.2%
Draw / De Graafschap12.1%
Draw / Draw11%
Questions about De Graafschap vs Waalwijk
Who will win De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
The model gives Waalwijk the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. De Graafschap find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Waalwijk in 83%.
What time does De Graafschap vs Waalwijk kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.