Serie A
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
UdineseHomeLLLDL
0:3Half-time 0:2
LecceAwayLWLLL532720
Udinese winDrawLecce win
Serie A
Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026
FT
UdineseHomeLLLDLLecceAwayLWLLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.63 : 0.92
- Favourite
- 53% Udinese
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Udinese vs Lecce
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.68 | 4.84 | 2.08 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Udinese to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Udinese vs Lecce are 1.86 for Udinese at 1xBet, 3.68 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.84 for Lecce at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
53%
Our prediction
Udinese to win
Double chanceUdinese or draw
80% chance1.24
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Udinese, full-time Udinese
33% chance2.99fair
Udinese vs Lecce prediction
Udinese vs Lecce prediction, who wins and at what price
Udinese vs Lecce prediction for the Serie A on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Udinese a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 27% and Lecce at 20%.
Expected goals are 1.63 for Udinese and 0.92 for Lecce, a total of 2.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is udinese to win at 53%. The best price in our comparison is 1.86 at 1xBet, which implies 54%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, udinese or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.24.
Udinese average 0.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across their last 5, Lecce 1.2 and 2.2 across 5.
Udinese vs Lecce goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.87.
Both teams to score is 50%: Udinese find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Lecce in 60%. Udinese keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Lecce 20%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Udinese vs Lecce: 1-0 (12.7%), 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Udinese, full-time Udinese is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Udinese vs Lecce
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 53% / 27% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Udinese to win53%1.86
Draw27%3.68
Lecce to win20%4.84
Udinese, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Lecce, draw no bet27%fair 3.68
Double chance
Udinese or draw80%1.24
Lecce or draw47%2.09
Udinese or Lecce (no draw)73%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.08
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals54%1.87
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.85
Not both teams to score50%1.87
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Udinese to score80%fair 1.24
Lecce to score60%fair 1.66
Udinese clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Lecce clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Udinese to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Lecce to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.7%
1-111.7%
2-010.4%
2-19.5%
0-07.8%
0-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Udinese / Udinese33.4%
Draw / Udinese18.2%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Lecce / Lecce11.6%
Draw / Lecce8.4%
Questions about Udinese vs Lecce
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
The model gives Udinese the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Udinese vs Lecce?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Udinese vs Lecce both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Udinese find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Lecce in 60%.
When is Udinese vs Lecce and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 10:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.