Skip to the predictions
Live 31 UTC
Serie A Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
NapoliHomeLWDWL
Sun 8 Nov
LazioAwayWWWWW
442432
Napoli winDrawLazio win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.89
1.59 : 1.30
Favourite
44%
Napoli
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Napoli vs Lazio betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.083.893.601.882.071.672.10Bet
22Bet2.013.743.461.821.991.672.10Bet
BC.Game2.023.653.351.752.021.642.12Bet
Betwinner2.083.893.601.882.071.672.10Bet
Melbet2.083.893.601.882.071.672.10Bet
Stake1.993.703.401.692.051.612.13Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Napoli to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Napoli price at 2.08, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.89 and 1xBet have Lazio longest at 3.60.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.07 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.13 (Stake).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

76%

Our prediction

Napoli or Lazio (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.59 : 1.30-0.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Napoli, full-time Napoli
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Napoli vs Lazio prediction

Napoli vs Lazio prediction, who wins and at what price

Napoli vs Lazio prediction for the Serie A on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Napoli marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Lazio at 31%.

The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 1.59 to Napoli and 1.30 to Lazio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Napoli or Lazio (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

Napoli average 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Lazio 3.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Napoli vs Lazio goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Napoli vs Lazio reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; Melbet pay 1.88.

Both teams to score is 57%: Napoli find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Lazio in 73%. Napoli keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Lazio 20%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.5%, then 2-1 at 9.1% and 1-0 at 8.8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Napoli vs Lazio; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Napoli, full-time Napoli leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Napoli vs Lazio

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 24% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Napoli to win44%2.08
Draw24%3.89
Lazio to win31%3.60
Napoli, draw no bet59%fair 1.71
Lazio, draw no bet41%fair 2.42

Double chance

Napoli or draw69%1.36
Lazio or draw56%1.87
Napoli or Lazio (no draw)76%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.88
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.07
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.67
Not both teams to score43%2.13

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Napoli to score80%fair 1.26
Lazio to score73%fair 1.38
Napoli clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Lazio clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Napoli to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Lazio to win to nil19%fair 5.32

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-19.1%
1-08.8%
1-27.5%
0-17.2%
2-07%

Half-time / full-time

Napoli / Napoli26.8%
Lazio / Lazio18.1%
Draw / Napoli14.7%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Draw / Lazio11.1%

Questions about Napoli vs Lazio

Who is favourite in Napoli vs Lazio?

The model gives Napoli the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Napoli vs Lazio?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Napoli vs Lazio?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Napoli find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Lazio in 73%.

When is Napoli vs Lazio and where is the result shown?

Napoli vs Lazio starts at 11:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Napoli v LazioNapoli or Lazio (no draw), 76%
1.32Bet