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Serie A Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
FiorentinaHomeDLLLD
Sun 8 Nov
JuventusAwayLDWLW
252550
Fiorentina winDrawJuventus win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.89
1.17 : 1.72
Favourite
50%
Juventus
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Fiorentina vs Juventus betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.963.961.961.812.161.642.15Bet
22Bet3.823.801.891.742.091.642.15Bet
BC.Game3.753.651.911.732.061.632.14Bet
Betwinner3.973.961.961.812.161.642.15Bet
Melbet3.973.961.961.812.161.642.15Bet
Stake3.753.701.871.692.051.632.10Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Juventus to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Fiorentina vs Juventus are 3.97 for Fiorentina at Melbet, 3.96 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.96 for Juventus at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.16 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.15 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Juventus or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.17 : 1.72-2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Juventus, full-time Juventus
31% chance3.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction, who wins and at what price

Juventus are a narrow favourite in the Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction, rated 50% to win this Serie A match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Fiorentina sit at 25% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.17 for Fiorentina and 1.72 for Juventus, a total of 2.89, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Juventus or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Fiorentina average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Juventus 1.2 and 1.4 across 5.

How many goals in Fiorentina vs Juventus? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.81.

BTTS yes stands at 58%. Fiorentina score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Juventus; Juventus score in 82% while Fiorentina shut them out 18% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Juventus, full-time Juventus leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Fiorentina vs Juventus

The grid built from 1.17 and 1.72 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Fiorentina to win25%3.97
Draw25%3.96
Juventus to win50%1.96
Fiorentina, draw no bet34%fair 2.97
Juventus, draw no bet66%fair 1.51

Double chance

Fiorentina or draw50%1.98
Juventus or draw75%1.31
Fiorentina or Juventus (no draw)75%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.16
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.64
Not both teams to score43%2.15

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Fiorentina to score69%fair 1.45
Juventus to score82%fair 1.22
Fiorentina clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Juventus clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Fiorentina to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Juventus to win to nil29%fair 3.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
1-29.6%
0-19.6%
0-28.2%
2-16.5%
1-06.5%

Half-time / full-time

Juventus / Juventus31.1%
Draw / Juventus16.3%
Fiorentina / Fiorentina14.7%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Draw / Fiorentina9.5%

Questions about Fiorentina vs Juventus

Fiorentina or Juventus: which side does the model back?

The model gives Juventus the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Fiorentina vs Juventus?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Fiorentina find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Juventus in 82%.

When do Fiorentina play Juventus?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Fiorentina v JuventusJuventus or draw, 75%
1.31Bet