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Live 16 UTC
Serie A Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
AS RomaHomeWWDWW
Sat 7 Nov
SassuoloAwayLDLLL
731611
AS Roma winDrawSassuolo win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.59
2.62 : 0.97
Favourite
73%
AS Roma
Over 2.5 goals
69%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AS Roma vs Sassuolo betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.375.778.701.462.711.692.07Bet
22Bet1.325.758.401.422.871.652.13Bet
BC.Game1.345.407.801.402.861.662.08Bet
Betwinner1.365.968.751.422.871.652.13Bet
Melbet1.375.778.701.422.871.692.07Bet
Stake1.305.807.80--1.652.07Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AS Roma to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction: AS Roma 1.37 (Melbet), draw 5.96 (Betwinner), Sassuolo 8.75 (Betwinner).

The best-price payout across the three results is 99%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.87 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (Melbet) and no 2.13 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

73%

Our prediction

AS Roma to win
BankerExpected goals 2.62 : 0.97-0.2% against the best price
Double chanceAS Roma or draw
89% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma
50% chance2.00fair

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction

AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction, who wins and at what price

The AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction leans to AS Roma: 73% against 11% for Sassuolo, with 16% left for the draw, in the Serie A on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Expected goals are 2.62 for AS Roma and 0.97 for Sassuolo, a total of 3.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for AS Roma vs Sassuolo is aS Roma to win, a 73% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.37 at Melbet, which implies 73%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

For a safer line, aS Roma or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.11.

The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: AS Roma have won 4 of their last 5 with 18 scored and 7 conceded, Sassuolo 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 15.

Goals forecast for AS Roma vs Sassuolo with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines AS Roma vs Sassuolo reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%; 1xBet pay 1.46.

The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from AS Roma scoring in 93% of runs and Sassuolo in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for AS Roma and 7% for Sassuolo.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 9.5%, followed by 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.3%).

With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AS Roma vs Sassuolo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AS Roma, full-time AS Roma leads at 50%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for AS Roma vs Sassuolo

The grid built from 2.62 and 0.97 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

AS Roma to win73%1.37
Draw16%5.96
Sassuolo to win11%8.75
AS Roma, draw no bet86%fair 1.16
Sassuolo, draw no bet14%fair 7.35

Double chance

AS Roma or draw89%1.11
Sassuolo or draw28%3.55
AS Roma or Sassuolo (no draw)84%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.07
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 2.5 goals31%2.87
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.93

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.69
Not both teams to score42%2.13

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.08
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16

Team goals

AS Roma to score93%fair 1.08
Sassuolo to score62%fair 1.61
AS Roma clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Sassuolo clean sheet7%fair 13.70
AS Roma to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Sassuolo to win to nil7%fair 14.93

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09.5%
2-19.2%
3-08.3%
3-18%
1-07.2%
1-17%

Half-time / full-time

AS Roma / AS Roma50.1%
Draw / AS Roma18.7%
Draw / Draw8.4%
Sassuolo / Sassuolo6.4%
Draw / Sassuolo4.3%

Questions about AS Roma vs Sassuolo

Who is favourite in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The model gives AS Roma the best chance at 73%, with the draw at 16%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

AS Roma vs Sassuolo correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 69% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. AS Roma find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Sassuolo in 62%.

When do AS Roma play Sassuolo?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AS Roma v SassuoloAS Roma to win, 73%
1.37Bet