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Live 16 UTC
Serie A Round 7 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
VeneziaHomeLWLLL
1:0Half-time 0:0
NapoliAwayLWDWL
202456
Venezia winDrawNapoli win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
3.06
1.11 : 1.95
Favourite
56%
Napoli
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Venezia vs Napoli betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.684.161.781.712.331.612.20Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Napoli to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Venezia vs Napoli prediction: Venezia 4.68 (1xBet), draw 4.16 (1xBet), Napoli 1.78 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.71 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.20 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

56%

Our prediction

Napoli to win
StrongExpected goals 1.11 : 1.95-0.7% against the best price
Double chanceNapoli or draw
80% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Napoli, full-time Napoli
36% chance2.75fair

Venezia vs Napoli odds movement

Venezia win4.68-0.07
Draw4.16unchanged
Napoli win1.78unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.71unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.33-0.02

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Venezia vs Napoli prediction

Venezia vs Napoli prediction, who wins and at what price

Venezia host Napoli on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has Napoli at 56%, the draw at 24% and Venezia at 20%: that is the Venezia vs Napoli prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.11 for Venezia and 1.95 for Napoli, a total of 3.06, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is napoli to win at 56%. At 1.78 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 56% from the model.

For a safer line, napoli or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.25.

Venezia average 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Napoli 2.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Venezia vs Napoli

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 58%. Venezia score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for Napoli; Napoli score in 86% while Venezia shut them out 14% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.1%, then 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.1%.

With the top scoreline at 10.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Venezia vs Napoli; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Napoli, full-time Napoli is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

Every market for Venezia vs Napoli

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 24% / 56% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Venezia to win20%4.68
Draw24%4.16
Napoli to win56%1.78
Venezia, draw no bet26%fair 3.79
Napoli, draw no bet74%fair 1.36

Double chance

Venezia or draw44%2.20
Napoli or draw80%1.25
Venezia or Napoli (no draw)76%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.71
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals41%2.33
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.20

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Venezia to score67%fair 1.49
Napoli to score86%fair 1.17
Venezia clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Napoli clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Venezia to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Napoli to win to nil30%fair 3.30

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-29.9%
0-19.1%
0-28.9%
1-36.4%
0-35.8%

Half-time / full-time

Napoli / Napoli36.3%
Draw / Napoli17.4%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Venezia / Venezia11.9%
Draw / Venezia7.8%

Questions about Venezia vs Napoli

Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?

The model gives Napoli the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Venezia vs Napoli?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Venezia vs Napoli both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Venezia find the net in 67% of simulated matches and Napoli in 86%.

When do Venezia play Napoli?

Venezia vs Napoli starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Venezia v NapoliNapoli to win, 56%
1.78Bet