Serie A
Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
GenoaHomeWLWWW
Sun 8 Nov
AC MilanAwayWLWLW212653
Genoa winDrawAC Milan win
Serie A
Round 11 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
GenoaHomeWLWWWAC MilanAwayWLWLW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.54 0.93 : 1.61
- Favourite
- 53% AC Milan
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Genoa vs AC Milan
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.84 | 3.72 | 1.85 | 2.16 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.66 | 3.58 | 1.78 | 2.09 | 1.74 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.79 | 2.06 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.81 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.84 | 3.73 | 1.85 | 2.16 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.84 | 3.73 | 1.85 | 2.16 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 1.99 | 1.73 | 1.92 | 1.76 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AC Milan to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Genoa vs AC Milan prediction: Genoa 4.84 (1xBet), draw 3.73 (Melbet), AC Milan 1.85 (Melbet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.16 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (1xBet) and no 1.81 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
AC Milan to win
Double chanceAC Milan or draw
79% chance1.24
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.81
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan
33% chance3.05fair
Genoa vs AC Milan prediction
Our Genoa vs AC Milan prediction and pick
Genoa host AC Milan on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Serie A, and the model has AC Milan at 53%, the draw at 26% and Genoa at 21%: that is the Genoa vs AC Milan prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.93 for Genoa and 1.61 for AC Milan, a total of 2.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 49%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
AC Milan to win is the main selection, rated 53%. At 1.85 with Melbet the market prices it at 54%, against 53% from the model.
AC Milan or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.24.
Over the last 5 matches Genoa stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; AC Milan show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Genoa vs AC Milan
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.81 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. Genoa score in 61% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for AC Milan; AC Milan score in 80% while Genoa shut them out 20% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 12.7%, followed by 1-1 (11.8%) and 0-2 (10.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time AC Milan, full-time AC Milan leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Genoa vs AC Milan
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Genoa vs AC Milan, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Genoa to win21%4.84
Draw26%3.73
AC Milan to win53%1.85
Genoa, draw no bet28%fair 3.53
AC Milan, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Double chance
Genoa or draw47%2.10
AC Milan or draw79%1.24
Genoa or AC Milan (no draw)74%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.81
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.93
Not both teams to score51%1.81
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Genoa to score61%fair 1.65
AC Milan to score80%fair 1.25
Genoa clean sheet20%fair 5.00
AC Milan clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Genoa to win to nil18%fair 5.43
AC Milan to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112.7%
1-111.8%
0-210.2%
1-29.5%
0-07.9%
1-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
AC Milan / AC Milan32.8%
Draw / AC Milan18%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Genoa / Genoa12%
Draw / Genoa8.5%
Questions about Genoa vs AC Milan
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
The model gives AC Milan the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Genoa vs AC Milan?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Genoa vs AC Milan?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Genoa find the net in 61% of simulated matches and AC Milan in 80%.
What time does Genoa vs AC Milan kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.