Serie A
Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
ParmaHomeWLLLD
Sat 7 Nov
BolognaAwayWLWWW212752
Parma winDrawBologna win
Serie A
Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026
Kick-off
ParmaHomeWLLLDBolognaAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 0.91 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 52% Bologna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Parma vs Bologna odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.63 | 3.68 | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.46 | 3.54 | 1.83 | 2.12 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.82 | 2.12 | 1.69 | 1.92 | 1.79 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.63 | 3.69 | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.63 | 3.69 | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.79 | 1.93 | 1.80 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.78 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 1.96 | 1.73 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Bologna to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Parma price at 4.63, Melbet lead the draw at 3.69 and Melbet have Bologna longest at 1.89.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.19 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (Stake) and no 1.80 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Bologna to win
Double chanceBologna or draw
79% chance1.25
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bologna, full-time Bologna
32% chance3.11fair
Parma vs Bologna prediction
Parma vs Bologna prediction and best bet
Bologna are a narrow favourite in the Parma vs Bologna prediction, rated 52% to win this Serie A match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Parma sit at 21% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 0.91 for Parma and 1.56 for Bologna, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 48%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is bologna to win at 52%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.89. That price implies 53%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, bologna or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.25.
Form check: Parma have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 9 conceded, Bologna 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 7.
A low-scoring Parma vs Bologna? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 56% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 44%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 48%. Parma score in 60% of simulations against a 40% clean sheet for Bologna; Bologna score in 79% while Parma shut them out 21% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Parma vs Bologna: 0-1 (13.2%), 1-1 (12%) and 0-2 (10.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bologna, full-time Bologna leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Parma vs Bologna
The grid built from 0.91 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Parma to win21%4.63
Draw27%3.69
Bologna to win52%1.89
Parma, draw no bet29%fair 3.42
Bologna, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Double chance
Parma or draw48%2.05
Bologna or draw79%1.25
Parma or Bologna (no draw)73%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.19
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.79
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.96
Not both teams to score52%1.80
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Parma to score60%fair 1.68
Bologna to score79%fair 1.27
Parma clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Bologna clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Parma to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Bologna to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.2%
1-112%
0-210.3%
1-29.4%
0-08.5%
1-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Bologna / Bologna32.2%
Draw / Bologna18%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Parma / Parma12%
Draw / Parma8.7%
Questions about Parma vs Bologna
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
The model gives Bologna the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Parma vs Bologna?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Parma vs Bologna both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Parma find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Bologna in 79%.
What time does Parma vs Bologna kick off?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.