Serie A
Round 10 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
LecceHomeLWLLL
1:2Half-time 1:2
GenoaAwayWLWWW313138
Lecce winDrawGenoa win
Serie A
Round 10 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
LecceHomeLWLLLGenoaAwayWLWWW- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.33 1.09 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 38% Genoa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Lecce vs Genoa betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.13 | 2.58 | 2.48 | 1.63 | 1.96 | 1.77 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.28 | 3.10 | 2.34 | 2.26 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.35 | 2.96 | 2.32 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.85 | 1.90 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.33 | 3.13 | 2.37 | 2.29 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.23 | 3.13 | 2.43 | 2.29 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.40 | 3.05 | 2.34 | 2.14 | 1.66 | 1.86 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Genoa to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Lecce price at 3.40, Melbet lead the draw at 3.13 and 1xBet have Genoa longest at 2.58.
The best-price payout across the three results is 99.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.48 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.67 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Genoa or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.48fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Genoa, full-time Genoa
23% chance4.33fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fairWon
Lecce vs Genoa odds movement
Lecce win3.40unchanged
Draw3.13unchanged
Genoa win2.58-0.03
Over 2.5 goals2.48unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.67unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Lecce vs Genoa prediction
Lecce vs Genoa prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Lecce vs Genoa prediction for Sunday, 1 November 2026: 31% home, 31% draw and 38% away in the Serie A. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.33 in total, split 1.09 to Lecce and 1.24 to Genoa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is genoa or draw at 69%. At 1.41 with 1xBet the market prices it at 71%, against 69% from the model.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Lecce average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Genoa 1.4 and 0.8 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Lecce vs Genoa
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 41%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 60% and under 3.5 is 79%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.67 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 50%: Lecce find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Genoa in 71%. Lecce keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Genoa 34%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%, followed by 0-1 (12.1%) and 1-0 (10.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Genoa, full-time Genoa leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Lecce vs Genoa
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Lecce vs Genoa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Lecce to win31%3.40
Draw31%3.13
Genoa to win38%2.58
Lecce, draw no bet45%fair 2.23
Genoa, draw no bet55%fair 1.81
Double chance
Lecce or draw62%1.61
Genoa or draw69%1.41
Lecce or Genoa (no draw)69%1.44
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.48
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 2.5 goals60%1.67
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.96
Not both teams to score50%1.98
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.55
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Lecce to score66%fair 1.51
Genoa to score71%fair 1.41
Lecce clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Genoa clean sheet34%fair 2.98
Lecce to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Genoa to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
0-112.1%
1-010.6%
0-09.7%
1-28.2%
0-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Genoa / Genoa23.1%
Lecce / Lecce18.3%
Draw / Draw18.3%
Draw / Genoa14.7%
Draw / Lecce12.4%
Questions about Lecce vs Genoa
Who is favourite in Lecce vs Genoa?
The model gives Genoa the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Lecce vs Genoa correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 41%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Lecce vs Genoa both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Lecce find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Genoa in 71%.
When is Lecce vs Genoa and where is the result shown?
Lecce vs Genoa starts at 17:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.