Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction and best bet

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction for the Serie A on Monday, 2 November 2026: the model calls it close, Sassuolo 35%, draw 25%, Fiorentina 40%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.59 for Sassuolo and 1.71 for Fiorentina, a total of 3.30, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Sassuolo or Fiorentina (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 0 points over the model figure.

Sassuolo average 1.2 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 5, Fiorentina 1.2 and 2.0 across 5.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Sassuolo vs Fiorentina reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; Melbet pay 1.56.

The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from Sassuolo scoring in 80% of runs and Fiorentina in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Sassuolo and 20% for Fiorentina.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8%).

With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Fiorentina, full-time Fiorentina is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 77%.