Iraqi League
Al TalabaHomeDDWWD
Fri 6 Nov
Ghaz Al ShamalAwayDLWWD423325
Al Talaba winDrawGhaz Al Shamal win
Al TalabaHomeDDWWDGhaz Al ShamalAwayDLWWD- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.69 1.00 : 0.69
- Favourite
- 42% Al Talaba
- Over 2.5 goals
- 24% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 32% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
75%
Our prediction
Al Talaba or draw
1.33fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.46fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
50% chance1.98fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
19% chance5.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
26% chance3.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
53% chance1.88fair
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal prediction
Our Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal prediction and pick
The Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal prediction leans to Al Talaba: 42% against 25% for Ghaz Al Shamal, with 33% left for the draw, in the Iraqi League on Friday, 6 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.00 for Al Talaba and 0.69 for Ghaz Al Shamal, a total of 1.69, which puts over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams to score at 32%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is al Talaba or draw at 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Al Talaba average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Ghaz Al Shamal 0.6 and 0.6 across 5.
A low-scoring Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 76% and under 3.5 91%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 50% and over 2.5 at 24%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 76%.
BTTS yes stands at 32%. Al Talaba score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for Ghaz Al Shamal; Ghaz Al Shamal score in 50% while Al Talaba shut them out 50% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal: 0-0 (18.5%), 1-0 (18.5%) and 0-1 (12.7%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 53%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al Talaba to win42%fair 2.38
Draw33%fair 2.99
Ghaz Al Shamal to win25%fair 4.08
Al Talaba, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Ghaz Al Shamal, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Double chance
Al Talaba or draw75%fair 1.33
Ghaz Al Shamal or draw58%fair 1.73
Al Talaba or Ghaz Al Shamal (no draw)67%fair 1.50
Goals
Over 0.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 goals50%fair 1.98
Over 2.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Over 3.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Over 4.5 goals3%fair 34.48
Under 1.5 goals50%fair 2.02
Under 2.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Under 3.5 goals91%fair 1.10
BTTS
Both teams to score32%fair 3.15
Not both teams to score68%fair 1.46
Halves
First-half goal53%fair 1.88
Over 1.5 first-half goals18%fair 5.65
Second-half goal61%fair 1.65
Team goals
Al Talaba to score63%fair 1.58
Ghaz Al Shamal to score50%fair 2.01
Al Talaba clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Ghaz Al Shamal clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Al Talaba to win to nil39%fair 2.59
Ghaz Al Shamal to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-018.5%
1-018.5%
0-112.7%
1-112.7%
2-09.2%
2-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw25.8%
Al Talaba / Al Talaba23.6%
Draw / Al Talaba17%
Ghaz Al Shamal / Ghaz Al Shamal13%
Draw / Ghaz Al Shamal10.7%
Questions about Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal
Who is favourite in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
The model gives Al Talaba the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal correct score: what does the model say?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 24% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Al Talaba find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Ghaz Al Shamal in 50%.
When is Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.