Iraqi League
ErbilHomeWDLLD
Sun 8 Nov
GharrafAwayDWDW602614
Erbil winDrawGharraf win
ErbilHomeWDLLDGharrafAwayDWDW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.13 1.53 : 0.60
- Favourite
- 60% Erbil
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 35% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Erbil vs Gharraf odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Erbil vs Gharraf yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
60%
Our prediction
Erbil to win
1.66fair
Double chanceErbil or draw
86% chance1.17fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.56fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.54fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Erbil, full-time Erbil
37% chance2.70fair
Erbil vs Gharraf prediction
Erbil vs Gharraf prediction, who wins and at what price
Erbil are the clear favourite in the Erbil vs Gharraf prediction, rated 60% to win this Iraqi League match on Sunday, 8 November 2026. Gharraf sit at 14% and the draw at 26%.
Erbil are expected to score 1.53 and Gharraf 0.60, so the total line is 2.13 goals; over 2.5 lands at 36% and BTTS at 35%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is erbil to win at 60%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Erbil or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance.
Over the last 5 matches Erbil stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gharraf show 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Erbil vs Gharraf
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 63%, over 2.5 at 36%, over 3.5 at 17%; under 2.5 is 64% and under 3.5 is 83%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 35%, built from Erbil scoring in 78% of runs and Gharraf in 45%; clean sheets come at 55% for Erbil and 22% for Gharraf.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 18.2%, then 2-0 at 13.9% and 0-0 at 11.9%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Erbil, full-time Erbil leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Erbil vs Gharraf
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Erbil vs Gharraf, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Erbil to win60%fair 1.66
Draw26%fair 3.91
Gharraf to win14%fair 6.99
Erbil, draw no bet81%fair 1.24
Gharraf, draw no bet19%fair 5.21
Double chance
Erbil or draw86%fair 1.17
Gharraf or draw40%fair 2.51
Erbil or Gharraf (no draw)74%fair 1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 2.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 2.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.20
BTTS
Both teams to score35%fair 2.84
Not both teams to score65%fair 1.54
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.62
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 4.02
Second-half goal69%fair 1.45
Team goals
Erbil to score78%fair 1.28
Gharraf to score45%fair 2.22
Erbil clean sheet55%fair 1.82
Gharraf clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Erbil to win to nil51%fair 1.98
Gharraf to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-018.2%
2-013.9%
0-011.9%
1-110.9%
2-18.3%
0-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Erbil / Erbil37%
Draw / Erbil21.1%
Draw / Draw18.4%
Gharraf / Gharraf7.5%
Draw / Gharraf6.3%
Questions about Erbil vs Gharraf
Who is favourite in Erbil vs Gharraf?
The model gives Erbil the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Erbil vs Gharraf correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 36%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Erbil vs Gharraf?
The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Erbil find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Gharraf in 45%.
What time does Erbil vs Gharraf kick off?
Erbil vs Gharraf starts at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.