Newroz vs Karbala prediction

Newroz vs Karbala prediction and best bet

Newroz vs Karbala prediction for the Iraqi League on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model makes Newroz the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 17% and Karbala at 8%.

The goal expectancy is 2.66 in total, split 2.15 to Newroz and 0.51 to Karbala. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 35%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Newroz to win is the main selection, rated 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Newroz or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance.

With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Newroz average 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded across their last 5, Karbala 1.0 and 2.4 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Newroz vs Karbala

Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 50%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%.

Both teams to score is 35%: Newroz find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Karbala in 40%. Newroz keep a clean sheet 60% of the time and Karbala 12%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 16.2%, then 1-0 at 15% and 3-0 at 11.6%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Newroz, full-time Newroz is the top combination at 51%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.