Mosul vs Duhok prediction

Our Mosul vs Duhok prediction and pick

The Mosul vs Duhok prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Iraqi League on Thursday, 5 November 2026 gives Mosul a 38% chance, Duhok 37% and the draw 25%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.42 for Mosul and 1.41 for Duhok, a total of 2.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Mosul or Duhok (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Over the last 5 matches Mosul stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Duhok show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Mosul vs Duhok goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Mosul score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Duhok; Duhok score in 76% while Mosul shut them out 24% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mosul vs Duhok: 1-1 (11.8%), 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mosul, full-time Mosul is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.