Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan prediction

Our Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 38% home, 31% draw and 31% away in the Iraqi League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Ghaz Al Shamal are expected to score 1.09 and Naft Maysan 0.97, so the total line is 2.06 goals; over 2.5 lands at 34% and BTTS at 42%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan is ghaz Al Shamal or Naft Maysan (no draw), a 69% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 9 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Ghaz Al Shamal average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Naft Maysan 0.2 and 1.0 across 4.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan

On the goal lines Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan reads 61% for over 1.5, 34% for over 2.5 and 15% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 66%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.47.

BTTS yes stands at 42%. Ghaz Al Shamal score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Naft Maysan; Naft Maysan score in 62% while Ghaz Al Shamal shut them out 38% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.9%, followed by 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (12.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ghaz Al Shamal, full-time Ghaz Al Shamal leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.