FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction and best bet

FC Augsburg host Union Berlin on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, and the model has FC Augsburg at 59%, the draw at 21% and Union Berlin at 20%: that is the FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.28 for FC Augsburg and 1.30 for Union Berlin, a total of 3.58, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 66%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin is fC Augsburg to win, a 59% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.88. That price implies 53%, 6 points under the model figure.

A 10.7% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

FC Augsburg or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.30.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

FC Augsburg average 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Union Berlin 0.6 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals forecast for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 31% and under 3.5 52%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.48 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from FC Augsburg scoring in 90% of runs and Union Berlin in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for FC Augsburg and 10% for Union Berlin.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.4%, then 1-1 at 8.3% and 2-0 at 7.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Augsburg, full-time FC Augsburg leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.