DFB-Pokal
SC FreiburgHomeLLLWW
3:2Half-time 1:2
VfL WolfsburgAwayDWDLW562123
SC Freiburg winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win
SC FreiburgHomeLLLWWVfL WolfsburgAwayDWDLW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.73 2.30 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 56% SC Freiburg
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.54 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.73 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.64 | 4.06 | 5.05 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.60 | 1.47 | 2.52 | 1.52 | 2.36 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.64 | 4.06 | 5.05 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.64 | 4.06 | 5.05 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 | 1.47 | 2.45 | 1.52 | 2.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
SC Freiburg to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best SC Freiburg price at 1.65, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.30 and Melbet have VfL Wolfsburg longest at 5.05.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.53 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (Betwinner) and no 2.73 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
56%
Our prediction
SC Freiburg to win
Double chanceSC Freiburg or VfL Wolfsburg (no draw)
79% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SC Freiburg, full-time SC Freiburg
37% chance2.70fair
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction
Our SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction and pick
The SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction leans to SC Freiburg: 56% against 23% for VfL Wolfsburg, with 21% left for the draw, in the DFB-Pokal on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
SC Freiburg are expected to score 2.30 and VfL Wolfsburg 1.43, so the total line is 3.73 goals; over 2.5 lands at 72% and BTTS at 66%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
SC Freiburg to win is the main selection, rated 56%. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at BC.Game, which implies 61%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg.
For a safer line, sC Freiburg or VfL Wolfsburg (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes at 1.24.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: SC Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 11 conceded, VfL Wolfsburg 2 of 5 scoring 12 and conceding 9.
Goals forecast for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 49%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%; 22Bet pay 1.53.
The chance of both teams scoring is 66%, built from SC Freiburg scoring in 90% of runs and VfL Wolfsburg in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for SC Freiburg and 10% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.1%, followed by 1-1 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time SC Freiburg, full-time SC Freiburg is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
All markets, SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 21% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
SC Freiburg to win56%1.65
Draw21%4.30
VfL Wolfsburg to win23%5.05
SC Freiburg, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
VfL Wolfsburg, draw no bet29%fair 3.45
Double chance
SC Freiburg or draw77%1.18
VfL Wolfsburg or draw44%2.25
SC Freiburg or VfL Wolfsburg (no draw)79%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals72%1.53
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.14
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 2.5 goals28%2.88
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.05
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.57
Not both teams to score34%2.73
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
SC Freiburg to score90%fair 1.11
VfL Wolfsburg to score76%fair 1.31
SC Freiburg clean sheet24%fair 4.18
VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet10%fair 10.00
SC Freiburg to win to nil22%fair 4.55
VfL Wolfsburg to win to nil9%fair 10.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.1%
1-17.9%
3-17%
2-26.5%
2-06.3%
1-25.6%
Half-time / full-time
SC Freiburg / SC Freiburg37.1%
Draw / SC Freiburg15.9%
VfL Wolfsburg / VfL Wolfsburg13.4%
Draw / Draw9.7%
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg7.7%
Questions about SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
SC Freiburg or VfL Wolfsburg: which side does the model back?
The model gives SC Freiburg the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 72% backs the same picture with less variance.
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. SC Freiburg find the net in 90% of simulated matches and VfL Wolfsburg in 76%.
When do SC Freiburg play VfL Wolfsburg?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.