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Live 31 UTC
Ligue 1 Round 7 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
LorientHomeLWWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
MonacoAwayWLWDL
252847
Lorient winDrawMonaco win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
2.61
1.08 : 1.53
Favourite
46%
Monaco
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Lorient vs Monaco odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.803.492.152.051.891.761.97Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Monaco to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Lorient price at 3.80, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.49 and 1xBet have Monaco longest at 2.15.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.05 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.89 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 1.97 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Monaco or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.08 : 1.53-0.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Monaco, full-time Monaco
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

Lorient vs Monaco prediction

Our Lorient vs Monaco prediction and pick

Monaco are marginally ahead in the Lorient vs Monaco prediction, rated 46% to win this Ligue 1 match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Lorient sit at 25% and the draw at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 2.61 in total, split 1.08 to Lorient and 1.53 to Monaco. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Lorient vs Monaco is monaco or draw, a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

Form check: Lorient have won 2 of their last 4 with 3 scored and 2 conceded, Monaco 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.

How many goals in Lorient vs Monaco? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Lorient vs Monaco reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.89.

Both teams to score is 53%: Lorient find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Monaco in 78%. Lorient keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Monaco 34%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.2%, then 0-1 at 11.3% and 1-2 at 9.3%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Monaco, full-time Monaco is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

All markets, Lorient vs Monaco

The grid built from 1.08 and 1.53 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Lorient to win25%3.80
Draw28%3.49
Monaco to win46%2.15
Lorient, draw no bet35%fair 2.84
Monaco, draw no bet65%fair 1.54

Double chance

Lorient or draw54%1.82
Monaco or draw75%1.33
Lorient or Monaco (no draw)72%1.37

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.89
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.76
Not both teams to score47%1.97

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Lorient to score66%fair 1.52
Monaco to score78%fair 1.28
Lorient clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Monaco clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Lorient to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Monaco to win to nil31%fair 3.21

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
0-111.3%
1-29.3%
0-28.6%
1-07.9%
0-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Monaco / Monaco28.9%
Draw / Monaco16.3%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Lorient / Lorient15.1%
Draw / Lorient10.1%

Questions about Lorient vs Monaco

Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?

The model gives Monaco the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Lorient vs Monaco correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Lorient vs Monaco?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Lorient find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Monaco in 78%.

What time does Lorient vs Monaco kick off?

Kick-off is 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Lorient v MonacoMonaco or draw, 75%
1.33Bet