Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction

Our Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction and pick

Auxerre host Le Mans on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Ligue 1, and the model has Auxerre at 45%, the draw at 26% and Le Mans at 29%: that is the Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.70 for Auxerre and 1.33 for Le Mans, a total of 3.03, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Auxerre or Le Mans (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 0 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Auxerre stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Le Mans show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Auxerre vs Le Mans goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.77.

Both teams to score is 61%: Auxerre find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Le Mans in 74%. Auxerre keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Le Mans 18%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 10.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Auxerre vs Le Mans; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Auxerre, full-time Auxerre is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.