Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
PlzenHomeWLLWW
1:2Half-time 0:1
Levski SofiaAwayDWWDW562420
Plzen winDrawLevski Sofia win
Europa League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 22 October 2026
FT
PlzenHomeWLLWWLevski SofiaAwayDWWDW- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.89 1.85 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 56% Plzen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Plzen vs Levski Sofia odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.77 | 4.03 | 4.56 | 1.77 | 2.14 | 1.68 | 2.08 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Plzen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction: Plzen 1.77 (1xBet), draw 4.03 (1xBet), Levski Sofia 4.56 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.77 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.14 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.08 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
56%
Our prediction
Plzen to win
Double chancePlzen or draw
80% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plzen, full-time Plzen
36% chance2.81fair
Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction
Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction, who wins and at what price
Plzen host Levski Sofia on Thursday, 22 October 2026 in the Europa League, and the model has Plzen at 56%, the draw at 24% and Levski Sofia at 21%: that is the Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.85 for Plzen and 1.04 for Levski Sofia, a total of 2.89, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is plzen to win at 56%. At 1.77 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 56% from the model.
For a safer line, plzen or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.23.
Over the last 5 matches Plzen stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Levski Sofia show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Plzen vs Levski Sofia
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.77.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Plzen scoring in 84% of runs and Levski Sofia in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Plzen and 16% for Levski Sofia.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Plzen vs Levski Sofia: 1-1 (10.7%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Plzen, full-time Plzen is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Plzen vs Levski Sofia
The grid built from 1.85 and 1.04 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Plzen to win56%1.77
Draw24%4.03
Levski Sofia to win21%4.56
Plzen, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Levski Sofia, draw no bet27%fair 3.73
Double chance
Plzen or draw80%1.23
Levski Sofia or draw44%2.14
Plzen or Levski Sofia (no draw)77%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.77
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%2.14
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.08
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Plzen to score84%fair 1.19
Levski Sofia to score65%fair 1.55
Plzen clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Levski Sofia clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Plzen to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Levski Sofia to win to nil15%fair 6.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-110.7%
1-010.3%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%
3-16.1%
3-05.9%
Half-time / full-time
Plzen / Plzen35.6%
Draw / Plzen17.7%
Draw / Draw13.3%
Levski Sofia / Levski Sofia11.7%
Draw / Levski Sofia7.9%
Questions about Plzen vs Levski Sofia
Plzen or Levski Sofia: which side does the model back?
The model gives Plzen the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Plzen vs Levski Sofia both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Plzen find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Levski Sofia in 65%.
When do Plzen play Levski Sofia?
Plzen vs Levski Sofia starts at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.