Ethiopia Premier League
Halaba KetemaHomeDWDLW
2:1Half-time 1:0
Hadiya HosaenaAwayLDWL272944
Halaba Ketema winDrawHadiya Hosaena win
Halaba KetemaHomeDWDLWHadiya HosaenaAwayLDWL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.25 0.95 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 44% Hadiya Hosaena
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 46% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 3.27 | 3.06 | 2.10 | 2.27 | 1.54 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.27 | 3.06 | 2.10 | 2.27 | 1.54 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.27 | 3.06 | 2.10 | 2.27 | 1.54 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hadiya Hosaena to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena are 3.27 for Halaba Ketema at 22Bet, 3.06 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.10 for Hadiya Hosaena at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.27 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.54 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (22Bet) and no 1.74 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Hadiya Hosaena or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hadiya Hosaena, full-time Hadiya Hosaena
26% chance3.80fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair
Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena prediction
Our Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena prediction and pick
The Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena prediction leans to Hadiya Hosaena: 44% against 27% for Halaba Ketema, with 29% left for the draw, in the Ethiopia Premier League on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Expected goals are 0.95 for Halaba Ketema and 1.30 for Hadiya Hosaena, a total of 2.25, which puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 46%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Hadiya Hosaena or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 22Bet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena.
Halaba Ketema average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Hadiya Hosaena 0.8 and 1.0 across 4.
A low-scoring Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 39%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 61% and under 3.5 is 81%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 22Bet pay 1.54.
Both teams to score is 46%: Halaba Ketema find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Hadiya Hosaena in 73%. Halaba Ketema keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and Hadiya Hosaena 39%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.7%, followed by 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Hadiya Hosaena, full-time Hadiya Hosaena is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market rated for Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena
The grid built from 0.95 and 1.30 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Halaba Ketema to win27%3.27
Draw29%3.06
Hadiya Hosaena to win44%2.10
Halaba Ketema, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
Hadiya Hosaena, draw no bet63%fair 1.60
Double chance
Halaba Ketema or draw56%1.58
Hadiya Hosaena or draw74%1.25
Halaba Ketema or Hadiya Hosaena (no draw)71%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%2.27
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.24
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.82
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Under 2.5 goals61%1.54
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24
BTTS
Both teams to score46%1.95
Not both teams to score54%1.74
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.72
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Halaba Ketema to score61%fair 1.63
Hadiya Hosaena to score73%fair 1.38
Halaba Ketema clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Hadiya Hosaena clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Halaba Ketema to win to nil24%fair 4.10
Hadiya Hosaena to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-113.7%
1-113%
0-010.5%
1-010%
0-28.9%
1-28.5%
Half-time / full-time
Hadiya Hosaena / Hadiya Hosaena26.3%
Draw / Draw18.8%
Draw / Hadiya Hosaena16.4%
Halaba Ketema / Halaba Ketema15.1%
Draw / Halaba Ketema10.8%
Questions about Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena
Who is favourite in Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The model gives Hadiya Hosaena the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena?
The BTTS yes line is rated 46%. Halaba Ketema find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Hadiya Hosaena in 73%.
What time does Halaba Ketema vs Hadiya Hosaena kick off?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.