Ethiopia Premier League
Kedus GiorgisHomeDLDDW
1:1Half-time 0:1
Adama KenemaAwayWDDLD383527
Kedus Giorgis winDrawAdama Kenema win
Kedus GiorgisHomeDLDDWAdama KenemaAwayWDDLD- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.85 1.01 : 0.84
- Favourite
- 38% Kedus Giorgis
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.34 | 2.71 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 1.33 | 2.29 | 1.53 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Kedus Giorgis to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Kedus Giorgis price at 2.34, 1xBet lead the draw at 2.71 and 1xBet have Adama Kenema longest at 3.20.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.29 (1xBet) and no 1.53 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Kedus Giorgis or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
73% chance1.33
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.29fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
57% chance1.77fair
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema prediction
Our Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema prediction and pick
The Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema prediction leans to Kedus Giorgis: 38% against 28% for Adama Kenema, with 35% left for the draw, in the Ethiopia Premier League on Thursday, 22 October 2026.
Kedus Giorgis are expected to score 1.01 and Adama Kenema 0.84, so the total line is 1.85 goals; over 2.5 lands at 28% and BTTS at 39%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema is kedus Giorgis or draw, a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Kedus Giorgis average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Adama Kenema 0.4 and 0.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema reads 55% for over 1.5, 28% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; 1xBet pay 1.33.
Both teams to score is 39%: Kedus Giorgis find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Adama Kenema in 57%. Kedus Giorgis keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Adama Kenema 36%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema: 1-0 (15.9%), 0-0 (15.7%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Kedus Giorgis to win38%2.34
Draw35%2.71
Adama Kenema to win28%3.20
Kedus Giorgis, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Adama Kenema, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Kedus Giorgis or draw72%1.26
Adama Kenema or draw63%1.47
Kedus Giorgis or Adama Kenema (no draw)65%1.35
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 2.5 goals28%2.83
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 25.00
Under 1.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 2.5 goals73%1.33
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.29
Not both teams to score61%1.53
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.77
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 4.93
Second-half goal64%fair 1.56
Team goals
Kedus Giorgis to score64%fair 1.57
Adama Kenema to score57%fair 1.76
Kedus Giorgis clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Adama Kenema clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Kedus Giorgis to win to nil35%fair 2.90
Adama Kenema to win to nil26%fair 3.89
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
1-015.9%
0-015.7%
1-113.3%
0-113.2%
2-08%
2-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.6%
Kedus Giorgis / Kedus Giorgis21.7%
Adama Kenema / Adama Kenema16%
Draw / Kedus Giorgis15.4%
Draw / Adama Kenema12.2%
Questions about Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema
Kedus Giorgis or Adama Kenema: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kedus Giorgis the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 28% backs the same picture with less variance.
Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Kedus Giorgis find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Adama Kenema in 57%.
What time does Kedus Giorgis vs Adama Kenema kick off?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.