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Live 16 UTC
League Cup Round of 16 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 Pens
Fleetwood TownHomeWLLDW
1:1Half-time 1:0Penalties 5:3
ArsenalAwayWDWDW
2692
Fleetwood Town winDrawArsenal win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
4.20
0.45 : 3.75
Favourite
93%
Arsenal
Over 2.5 goals
75%
model chance
Both teams to score
36%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet38.0013.001.081.283.402.581.45Bet
22Bet17.0013.001.091.323.362.551.51Bet
BC.Game25.009.801.081.323.102.541.45Bet
Betwinner17.0013.001.091.323.362.551.51Bet
Melbet17.0013.001.091.323.362.551.51Bet
Stake29.0011.001.071.323.202.601.43Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Arsenal to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Fleetwood Town price at 38.00, Melbet lead the draw at 13.00 and Melbet have Arsenal longest at 1.09.

The best-price payout across the three results is 98%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.32 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.40 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.60 (Stake) and no 1.51 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

93%

Our prediction

Arsenal to win
BankerExpected goals 0.45 : 3.75+1% against the best price
Double chanceArsenal or draw
98% chance1.01
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.32
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.09fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-3
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Arsenal, full-time Arsenal
74% chance1.36fair

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal odds movement

Fleetwood Town win38.00-2.00
Draw13.00-2.00
Arsenal win1.09-0.01
Over 2.5 goals1.32unchanged
Under 2.5 goals3.40-0.20

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction, who wins and at what price

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction for the League Cup on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Arsenal a strong favourite at 93%, with the draw at 6% and Fleetwood Town at 2%.

Expected goals are 0.45 for Fleetwood Town and 3.75 for Arsenal, a total of 4.20, which puts over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams to score at 36%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Arsenal to win is the main selection, rated 93%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.09. That price implies 92%, 1 points under the model figure.

Arsenal or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 98% chance, priced 1.01.

The draw sits at only 6%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Fleetwood Town stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Arsenal show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 25% and under 3.5 40%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 92% and over 2.5 at 75%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 75%; Melbet pay 1.32.

Both teams to score is 36%: Fleetwood Town find the net in 36% of simulated matches and Arsenal in 98%. Fleetwood Town keep a clean sheet 2% of the time and Arsenal 64%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-3 at 13.2%, followed by 0-4 (12.4%) and 0-2 (10.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Arsenal, full-time Arsenal is the top combination at 74%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 85%.

All markets, Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Fleetwood Town to win2%38.00
Draw6%13.00
Arsenal to win93%1.09
Fleetwood Town, draw no bet2%fair 52.63
Arsenal, draw no bet98%fair 1.02

Double chance

Fleetwood Town or draw7%9.69
Arsenal or draw98%1.01
Fleetwood Town or Arsenal (no draw)95%1.05

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 2.5 goals75%1.32
Over 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 4.5 goals41%fair 2.47
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.05
Under 2.5 goals25%3.40
Under 3.5 goals40%fair 2.49

BTTS

Both teams to score36%2.60
Not both teams to score64%1.51

Halves

First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals56%fair 1.78
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11

Team goals

Fleetwood Town to score36%fair 2.76
Arsenal to score98%fair 1.02
Fleetwood Town clean sheet2%fair 41.67
Arsenal clean sheet64%fair 1.57
Fleetwood Town to win to nil2%fair 58.82
Arsenal to win to nil59%fair 1.70

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-313.2%
0-412.4%
0-210.5%
0-59.3%
1-35.9%
0-15.6%

Half-time / full-time

Arsenal / Arsenal73.5%
Draw / Arsenal16.6%
Draw / Draw3.2%
Fleetwood Town / Arsenal2.1%
Fleetwood Town / Draw1%

Questions about Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Who is favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

The model gives Arsenal the best chance at 93%, with the draw at 6%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

0-3 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 75% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Fleetwood Town find the net in 36% of simulated matches and Arsenal in 98%.

When do Fleetwood Town play Arsenal?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Fleetwood Town v ArsenalArsenal to win, 93%
1.09Bet