League Cup
EvertonHomeWDLLW
3:1Half-time 2:0
NewcastleAwayWLLWL412732
Everton winDrawNewcastle win
EvertonHomeWDLLWNewcastleAwayWLLWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.62 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 41% Everton
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Everton vs Newcastle
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.54 | 3.12 | 1.72 | 2.15 | 1.56 | 2.30 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.38 | 3.60 | 2.81 | 1.60 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 2.55 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.64 | 2.14 | 1.51 | 2.38 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.46 | 3.60 | 2.71 | 1.60 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 2.55 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.46 | 3.60 | 2.71 | 1.60 | 2.34 | 1.51 | 2.55 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.32 | 3.55 | 2.90 | 1.61 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Everton to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Everton price at 2.46, Melbet lead the draw at 3.60 and 1xBet have Newcastle longest at 3.12.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 99.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.34 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.55 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Everton or Newcastle (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Everton, full-time Everton
26% chance3.86fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Everton vs Newcastle odds movement
Everton win2.46unchanged
Draw3.60unchanged
Newcastle win3.12-0.03
Over 2.5 goals1.72unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.34unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Everton vs Newcastle prediction
Our Everton vs Newcastle prediction and pick
Everton host Newcastle on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the League Cup, and the model has Everton at 41%, the draw at 27% and Newcastle at 32%: that is the Everton vs Newcastle prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.02 in total, split 1.62 to Everton and 1.40 to Newcastle. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Everton vs Newcastle is everton or Newcastle (no draw), a 73% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 2 points over the model figure.
Everton average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Newcastle 1.2 and 1.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Everton vs Newcastle
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 62%: Everton find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Newcastle in 75%. Everton keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Newcastle 20%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Everton, full-time Everton is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market rated for Everton vs Newcastle
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 27% / 32% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Everton to win41%2.46
Draw27%3.60
Newcastle to win32%3.12
Everton, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Newcastle, draw no bet44%fair 2.30
Double chance
Everton or draw68%1.46
Newcastle or draw59%1.66
Everton or Newcastle (no draw)73%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals42%2.34
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.56
Not both teams to score38%2.55
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Everton to score80%fair 1.25
Newcastle to score75%fair 1.33
Everton clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Newcastle clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Everton to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Newcastle to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-19%
1-07.9%
1-27.7%
0-16.8%
2-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Everton / Everton25.9%
Newcastle / Newcastle19.4%
Draw / Everton14.1%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Newcastle11.4%
Questions about Everton vs Newcastle
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
The model gives Everton the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Everton vs Newcastle?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Everton vs Newcastle both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Everton find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Newcastle in 75%.
When do Everton play Newcastle?
Everton vs Newcastle starts at 19:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.