HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction

Our HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction and pick

HNK Hajduk Split are a narrow favourite in the HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin prediction, rated 58% to win this HNL match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. NK Varazdin sit at 16% and the draw at 26%.

HNK Hajduk Split are expected to score 1.89 and NK Varazdin 0.95, so the total line is 2.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

HNK Hajduk Split to win is the main selection, rated 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.60 at 1xBet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, hNK Hajduk Split or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.11.

Over the last 5 matches HNK Hajduk Split stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; NK Varazdin show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from HNK Hajduk Split scoring in 85% of runs and NK Varazdin in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for HNK Hajduk Split and 15% for NK Varazdin.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11%, followed by 1-1 (10.5%) and 2-0 (10.4%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time HNK Hajduk Split, full-time HNK Hajduk Split is the top combination at 38%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.