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HNL Round 10 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
NK OsijekHomeDLDLW
1:1Half-time 0:1
HNK GoricaAwayWLDDL
592318
NK Osijek winDrawHNK Gorica win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.80
1.85 : 0.95
Favourite
59%
NK Osijek
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.643.924.721.722.031.712.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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NK Osijek to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best NK Osijek price at 1.64, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.92 and 1xBet have HNK Gorica longest at 4.72.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.03 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

59%

Our prediction

NK Osijek to win
StrongExpected goals 1.85 : 0.95-4.1% against the best price
Double chanceNK Osijek or draw
82% chance1.16
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NK Osijek, full-time NK Osijek
37% chance2.70fair

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica prediction

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica prediction, who wins and at what price

The NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica prediction leans to NK Osijek: 59% against 18% for HNK Gorica, with 23% left for the draw, in the HNL on Saturday, 17 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.80 in total, split 1.85 to NK Osijek and 0.95 to HNK Gorica. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica is nK Osijek to win, a 59% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.64 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica.

For a safer line, nK Osijek or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.16.

Over the last 5 matches NK Osijek stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; HNK Gorica show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica

On the goal lines NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica reads 77% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.72.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from NK Osijek scoring in 84% of runs and HNK Gorica in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for NK Osijek and 16% for HNK Gorica.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.2%, then 1-1 at 10.7% and 2-0 at 10.4%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time NK Osijek, full-time NK Osijek leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

NK Osijek to win59%1.64
Draw23%3.92
HNK Gorica to win18%4.72
NK Osijek, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
HNK Gorica, draw no bet24%fair 4.22

Double chance

NK Osijek or draw82%1.16
HNK Gorica or draw42%2.14
NK Osijek or HNK Gorica (no draw)77%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.72
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals48%2.03
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.71
Not both teams to score46%2.02

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

NK Osijek to score84%fair 1.19
HNK Gorica to score61%fair 1.63
NK Osijek clean sheet39%fair 2.58
HNK Gorica clean sheet16%fair 6.37
NK Osijek to win to nil36%fair 2.81
HNK Gorica to win to nil15%fair 6.90

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.2%
1-110.7%
2-010.4%
2-19.9%
3-06.4%
3-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

NK Osijek / NK Osijek37.1%
Draw / NK Osijek18.5%
Draw / Draw13.6%
HNK Gorica / HNK Gorica10.4%
Draw / HNK Gorica7.3%

Questions about NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica

Who will win NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

The model gives NK Osijek the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. NK Osijek find the net in 84% of simulated matches and HNK Gorica in 61%.

What time does NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica kick off?

NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, NK Osijek v HNK GoricaNK Osijek to win, 59%
1.64Bet