HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction, who wins and at what price

The HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin prediction leans to HNK Rijeka: 55% against 21% for NK Varazdin, with 25% left for the draw, in the HNL on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.74 for HNK Rijeka and 0.99 for NK Varazdin, a total of 2.73, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is hNK Rijeka to win at 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.71 at 1xBet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin.

For a safer line, hNK Rijeka or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.18.

Over the last 5 matches HNK Rijeka stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; NK Varazdin show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 1.90.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from HNK Rijeka scoring in 82% of runs and NK Varazdin in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for HNK Rijeka and 18% for NK Varazdin.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin: 1-0 (11.3%), 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (9.9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time HNK Rijeka, full-time HNK Rijeka leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.