FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction, who wins and at what price

HNK Hajduk Split are marginally ahead in the FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction, rated 42% to win this Conference League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026. FC Thun sit at 33% and the draw at 25%.

FC Thun are expected to score 1.47 and HNK Hajduk Split 1.67, so the total line is 3.14 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 64%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is fC Thun or HNK Hajduk Split (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Form check: FC Thun have won 1 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 11 conceded, HNK Hajduk Split 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 60%; 1xBet pay 1.63.

Both teams to score is 64%: FC Thun find the net in 77% of simulated matches and HNK Hajduk Split in 81%. FC Thun keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and HNK Hajduk Split 23%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%, followed by 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time HNK Hajduk Split, full-time HNK Hajduk Split is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.