HNL
Istra 1961HomeLWLDW
2:2Half-time 0:1
HNK Hajduk SplitAwayWWWDW242353
Istra 1961 winDrawHNK Hajduk Split win
Istra 1961HomeLWLDWHNK Hajduk SplitAwayWWWDW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.13 1.21 : 1.92
- Favourite
- 54% HNK Hajduk Split
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.19 | 4.05 | 1.69 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.35 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.45 | 3.92 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.65 | 1.59 | 2.24 | 1.60 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.36 | 3.84 | 1.78 | 1.68 | 2.19 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.36 | 3.84 | 1.78 | 1.68 | 2.19 | 1.66 | 2.23 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.30 | 3.95 | 1.65 | 1.54 | 2.28 | 1.57 | 2.15 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
HNK Hajduk Split to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Istra 1961 price at 4.60, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.05 and Betwinner have HNK Hajduk Split longest at 1.78.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.30 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (Melbet) and no 2.35 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
54%
Our prediction
HNK Hajduk Split to win
Double chanceIstra 1961 or HNK Hajduk Split (no draw)
77% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time HNK Hajduk Split, full-time HNK Hajduk Split
34% chance2.93fair
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction, who wins and at what price
The Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction leans to HNK Hajduk Split: 54% against 24% for Istra 1961, with 23% left for the draw, in the HNL on Monday, 26 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.13 in total, split 1.21 to Istra 1961 and 1.92 to HNK Hajduk Split. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split is hNK Hajduk Split to win, a 54% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.78. That price implies 56%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split.
Istra 1961 or HNK Hajduk Split (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.26.
Form check: Istra 1961 have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 6 conceded, HNK Hajduk Split 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 3.
Goals forecast for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 61%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.68 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Istra 1961 score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for HNK Hajduk Split; HNK Hajduk Split score in 85% while Istra 1961 shut them out 15% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split: 1-1 (10.2%), 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-1 (8.4%).
With the top scoreline at 10.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time HNK Hajduk Split, full-time HNK Hajduk Split leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Istra 1961 to win24%4.60
Draw23%4.05
HNK Hajduk Split to win54%1.78
Istra 1961, draw no bet31%fair 3.27
HNK Hajduk Split, draw no bet69%fair 1.44
Double chance
Istra 1961 or draw46%2.08
HNK Hajduk Split or draw76%1.21
Istra 1961 or HNK Hajduk Split (no draw)77%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.68
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.62
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 2.5 goals39%2.30
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.66
Not both teams to score40%2.35
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.43
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Istra 1961 to score70%fair 1.42
HNK Hajduk Split to score85%fair 1.17
Istra 1961 clean sheet15%fair 6.80
HNK Hajduk Split clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Istra 1961 to win to nil14%fair 7.41
HNK Hajduk Split to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
1-29.8%
0-18.4%
0-28.1%
1-36.2%
2-16.1%
Half-time / full-time
HNK Hajduk Split / HNK Hajduk Split34.1%
Draw / HNK Hajduk Split16.6%
Istra 1961 / Istra 196113.6%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Draw / Istra 19618.5%
Questions about Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split
Who is favourite in Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model gives HNK Hajduk Split the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Istra 1961 find the net in 70% of simulated matches and HNK Hajduk Split in 85%.
What time does Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split kick off?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.