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Live 10 UTC
HNL Round 11 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
NK VarazdinHomeWLLDD
1:2Half-time 1:0
NK Slaven BelupoAwayDWLWL
582319
NK Varazdin winDrawNK Slaven Belupo win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.98
1.94 : 1.04
Favourite
58%
NK Varazdin
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.654.054.431.592.251.592.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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NK Varazdin to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo are 1.65 for NK Varazdin at 1xBet, 4.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.43 for NK Slaven Belupo at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

58%

Our prediction

NK Varazdin to win
StrongExpected goals 1.94 : 1.04-4.1% against the best price
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw
81% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NK Varazdin, full-time NK Varazdin
37% chance2.68fair

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction, who wins and at what price

The NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo prediction leans to NK Varazdin: 58% against 19% for NK Slaven Belupo, with 23% left for the draw, in the HNL on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.94 for NK Varazdin and 1.04 for NK Slaven Belupo, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo is nK Varazdin to win, a 58% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo.

For a safer line, nK Varazdin or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.17.

Form check: NK Varazdin have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, NK Slaven Belupo 2 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 11.

How many goals in NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. NK Varazdin score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for NK Slaven Belupo; NK Slaven Belupo score in 65% while NK Varazdin shut them out 35% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.2%, then 2-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 9.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time NK Varazdin, full-time NK Varazdin is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market for NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo

The grid built from 1.94 and 1.04 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

NK Varazdin to win58%1.65
Draw23%4.05
NK Slaven Belupo to win19%4.43
NK Varazdin, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
NK Slaven Belupo, draw no bet25%fair 4.03

Double chance

NK Varazdin or draw81%1.17
NK Slaven Belupo or draw42%2.12
NK Varazdin or NK Slaven Belupo (no draw)77%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.59
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.52
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 2.5 goals43%2.25
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.59
Not both teams to score43%2.21

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.58
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

NK Varazdin to score86%fair 1.17
NK Slaven Belupo to score65%fair 1.55
NK Varazdin clean sheet35%fair 2.83
NK Slaven Belupo clean sheet14%fair 6.94
NK Varazdin to win to nil33%fair 3.08
NK Slaven Belupo to win to nil13%fair 7.58

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.2%
2-19.9%
1-09.9%
2-09.6%
3-16.4%
3-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

NK Varazdin / NK Varazdin37.3%
Draw / NK Varazdin17.9%
Draw / Draw12.6%
NK Slaven Belupo / NK Slaven Belupo11%
Draw / NK Slaven Belupo7.4%

Questions about NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo

NK Varazdin or NK Slaven Belupo: which side does the model back?

The model gives NK Varazdin the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. NK Varazdin find the net in 86% of simulated matches and NK Slaven Belupo in 65%.

When is NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, NK Varazdin v NK Slaven BelupoNK Varazdin to win, 58%
1.65Bet