HNL
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHomeLWDDL
2:0Half-time 1:0
Istra 1961AwayLWLDW412633
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb winDrawIstra 1961 win
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHomeLWDDLIstra 1961AwayLWLDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.00 1.58 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 41% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.58 | 2.74 | 1.59 | 2.25 | 1.49 | 2.44 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 are 2.30 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 1xBet, 3.58 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.74 for Istra 1961 at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (1xBet) and no 2.44 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Istra 1961 (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, full-time NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 prediction
Our NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 prediction and pick
The NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. HNL on Saturday, 17 October 2026 gives NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 41% chance, Istra 1961 33% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are expected to score 1.58 and Istra 1961 1.42, so the total line is 3.00 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 is nK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Istra 1961 (no draw), a 74% chance. At 1.25 with 1xBet the market prices it at 80%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, Istra 1961 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
How many goals in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 reads 80% for over 1.5, 57% for over 2.5 and 35% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 43%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 63%: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Istra 1961 in 76%. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Istra 1961 21%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.9%).
With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, full-time NK Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win41%2.30
Draw26%3.58
Istra 1961 to win33%2.74
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Istra 1961, draw no bet45%fair 2.22
Double chance
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw67%1.40
Istra 1961 or draw59%1.55
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or Istra 1961 (no draw)74%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.59
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.25
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.49
Not both teams to score37%2.44
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score79%fair 1.26
Istra 1961 to score76%fair 1.32
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Istra 1961 clean sheet21%fair 4.85
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Istra 1961 to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.2%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%
1-07.9%
0-17.1%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb24.9%
Istra 1961 / Istra 196120.2%
Draw / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb13.8%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Istra 196111.8%
Questions about NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
The model gives NK Lokomotiva Zagreb the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Istra 1961 in 76%.
When is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.