Croatia Cup
NK VarazdinHomeWLLDD
1:1Half-time 0:0Penalties 5:4
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebAwayLWDDL542521
NK Varazdin winDrawNK Lokomotiva Zagreb win
NK VarazdinHomeWLLDDNK Lokomotiva ZagrebAwayLWDDL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.69 1.71 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 54% NK Varazdin
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.32 | 3.92 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 1.92 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.69 | 3.65 | 4.69 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.63 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.79 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.69 | 3.65 | 4.69 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.69 | 3.65 | 4.69 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.65 | 3.65 | 4.80 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.81 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
NK Varazdin to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction: NK Varazdin 1.82 (1xBet), draw 3.65 (Melbet), NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5.00 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.86 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (22Bet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
54%
Our prediction
NK Varazdin to win
Double chanceNK Varazdin or draw
79% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time NK Varazdin, full-time NK Varazdin
34% chance2.95fair
NK Varazdin v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb head to head
1NK Varazdin wins
0Draws
0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
- 11 Oct 26NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0:1NK Varazdin
1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: NK Varazdin scored 1, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored 0.
NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction
NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction, who wins and at what price
The NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction leans to NK Varazdin: 54% against 21% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, with 25% left for the draw, in the Croatia Cup on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.71 for NK Varazdin and 0.98 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, a total of 2.69, which puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb is nK Varazdin to win, a 54% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.82. That price implies 55%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, nK Varazdin or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.18.
Form check: NK Varazdin have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 5 conceded, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
On the goal lines NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb reads 75% for over 1.5, 50% for over 2.5 and 28% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 22Bet pay 1.91.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. NK Varazdin score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb score in 63% while NK Varazdin shut them out 38% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11.6%, followed by 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (9.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time NK Varazdin, full-time NK Varazdin leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
NK Varazdin to win54%1.82
Draw25%3.65
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win21%5.00
NK Varazdin, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, draw no bet28%fair 3.60
Double chance
NK Varazdin or draw79%1.18
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw46%2.07
NK Varazdin or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (no draw)75%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.91
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 2.5 goals50%1.86
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.92
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.93
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
NK Varazdin to score82%fair 1.22
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score63%fair 1.60
NK Varazdin clean sheet38%fair 2.67
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet18%fair 5.52
NK Varazdin to win to nil35%fair 2.90
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-011.6%
1-111.4%
2-09.9%
2-19.7%
0-06.8%
0-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
NK Varazdin / NK Varazdin33.9%
Draw / NK Varazdin17.9%
Draw / Draw14.6%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb11.9%
Draw / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb8.3%
Questions about NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Who is favourite in NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
The model gives NK Varazdin the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. NK Varazdin find the net in 82% of simulated matches and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 63%.
When do NK Varazdin play NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.