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Série A Round 33 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
CorinthiansHomeLLDLW
2:0Half-time 0:0
MirassolAwayDLWDL
502723
Corinthians winDrawMirassol win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.60
1.59 : 1.01
Favourite
50%
Corinthians
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Corinthians vs Mirassol

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.893.594.282.001.851.811.90Bet
22Bet1.893.364.441.812.001.702.14Bet
BC.Game1.833.354.301.931.801.781.95Bet
Betwinner1.893.364.441.812.001.742.09Bet
Melbet1.893.364.441.812.001.742.09Bet
Stake1.893.504.101.891.851.791.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Corinthians to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction: Corinthians 1.89 (1xBet), draw 3.59 (1xBet), Mirassol 4.44 (Melbet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.00 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.81 (1xBet) and no 2.14 (22Bet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

50%

Our prediction

Corinthians to win
LeanExpected goals 1.59 : 1.01-4.9% against the best price
Double chanceCorinthians or draw
77% chance1.24
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance2.00
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Corinthians, full-time Corinthians
31% chance3.22fair

Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction

Our Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction and pick

The Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction leans to Corinthians: 50% against 23% for Mirassol, with 27% left for the draw, in the Série A on Friday, 30 October 2026.

Corinthians are expected to score 1.59 and Mirassol 1.01, so the total line is 2.60 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Corinthians vs Mirassol is corinthians to win, a 50% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.89 at 1xBet, which implies 53%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Corinthians vs Mirassol.

For a safer line, corinthians or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.24.

Corinthians average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Mirassol 0.8 and 1.0 across 5.

Corinthians vs Mirassol goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 2.00 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Corinthians score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Mirassol; Mirassol score in 64% while Corinthians shut them out 36% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Corinthians vs Mirassol: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Corinthians, full-time Corinthians leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Corinthians vs Mirassol

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 50% / 27% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Corinthians to win50%1.89
Draw27%3.59
Mirassol to win23%4.44
Corinthians, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Mirassol, draw no bet31%fair 3.22

Double chance

Corinthians or draw77%1.24
Mirassol or draw50%1.95
Corinthians or Mirassol (no draw)73%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.00
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.13
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 2.5 goals52%2.00
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.81
Not both teams to score49%2.14

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.06
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Corinthians to score80%fair 1.26
Mirassol to score64%fair 1.57
Corinthians clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Mirassol clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Corinthians to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Mirassol to win to nil19%fair 5.32

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-011.8%
2-19.5%
2-09.4%
0-17.5%
0-07.4%

Half-time / full-time

Corinthians / Corinthians31.1%
Draw / Corinthians17.2%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Mirassol / Mirassol13.4%
Draw / Mirassol9.2%

Questions about Corinthians vs Mirassol

Corinthians or Mirassol: which side does the model back?

The model gives Corinthians the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Corinthians vs Mirassol correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Corinthians vs Mirassol?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Corinthians find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Mirassol in 64%.

What time does Corinthians vs Mirassol kick off?

Kick-off is 23:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Corinthians v MirassolCorinthians to win, 50%
1.89Bet