Segunda División
LeganesHomeLLLLD
0:1Half-time 0:0
CordobaAwayLWWLD372934
Leganes winDrawCordoba win
LeganesHomeLLLLDCordobaAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Fri 16 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.41 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 37% Leganes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Leganes vs Cordoba odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.42 | 2.86 | 1.80 | 2.06 | 1.58 | 2.23 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Leganes to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Leganes vs Cordoba prediction: Leganes 2.50 (1xBet), draw 3.42 (1xBet), Cordoba 2.86 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.80 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (1xBet) and no 2.23 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
71%
Our prediction
Leganes or Cordoba (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Leganes, full-time Leganes
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Leganes vs Cordoba odds movement
Leganes win2.50-0.12
Draw3.42unchanged
Cordoba win2.86-0.01
Over 2.5 goals1.80-0.10
Under 2.5 goals2.06unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Leganes vs Cordoba prediction
Leganes vs Cordoba prediction, who wins and at what price
Leganes vs Cordoba prediction for the Segunda División on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model calls it close, Leganes 37%, draw 29%, Cordoba 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Leganes are expected to score 1.41 and Cordoba 1.33, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is leganes or Cordoba (no draw) at 71%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Leganes vs Cordoba.
Over the last 5 matches Leganes stand at 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Cordoba show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Leganes vs Cordoba goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Leganes vs Cordoba reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.80.
Both teams to score is 58%: Leganes find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Cordoba in 74%. Leganes keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Cordoba 24%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Leganes vs Cordoba: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Leganes, full-time Leganes is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market rated for Leganes vs Cordoba
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 37% / 29% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Leganes to win37%2.50
Draw29%3.42
Cordoba to win34%2.86
Leganes, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Cordoba, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Double chance
Leganes or draw66%1.44
Cordoba or draw63%1.56
Leganes or Cordoba (no draw)71%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.80
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals49%2.06
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.58
Not both teams to score42%2.23
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Leganes to score76%fair 1.32
Cordoba to score74%fair 1.36
Leganes clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Cordoba clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Leganes to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Cordoba to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.1%
0-18.6%
2-18.5%
1-28.1%
0-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Leganes / Leganes23.1%
Cordoba / Cordoba20.7%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Leganes13.6%
Draw / Cordoba12.6%
Questions about Leganes vs Cordoba
Who will win Leganes vs Cordoba?
The model gives Leganes the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Leganes vs Cordoba?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Leganes vs Cordoba both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Leganes find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Cordoba in 74%.
What time does Leganes vs Cordoba kick off?
Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.