Segunda División
GironaHomeDWWWL
Sun 8 Nov
AlmeriaAwayWWDWD472627
Girona winDrawAlmeria win
GironaHomeDWWWLAlmeriaAwayWWDWD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.84 1.64 : 1.20
- Favourite
- 47% Girona
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Girona vs Almeria
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.68 | 3.57 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 1.64 | 2.15 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.40 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.04 | 3.55 | 3.30 | 1.68 | 2.08 | 1.58 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.40 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.03 | 3.72 | 3.40 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.35 | 1.67 | 2.08 | 1.60 | 2.15 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Girona to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Girona vs Almeria prediction: Girona 2.04 (BC.Game), draw 3.72 (22Bet), Almeria 3.57 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Girona or Almeria (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Girona, full-time Girona
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Girona vs Almeria prediction
Our Girona vs Almeria prediction and pick
The Girona vs Almeria prediction leans to Girona: 47% against 27% for Almeria, with 26% left for the draw, in the Segunda División on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
Girona are expected to score 1.64 and Almeria 1.20, so the total line is 2.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is girona or Almeria (no draw) at 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Girona vs Almeria.
Over the last 5 matches Girona stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Almeria show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Girona vs Almeria
On the goal lines Girona vs Almeria reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 58%: Girona find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Almeria in 70%. Girona keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Almeria 19%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%, followed by 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Girona, full-time Girona leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Girona vs Almeria
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 26% / 27% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Girona to win47%2.04
Draw26%3.72
Almeria to win27%3.57
Girona, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Almeria, draw no bet37%fair 2.74
Double chance
Girona or draw73%1.31
Almeria or draw53%1.81
Girona or Almeria (no draw)74%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.76
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals46%2.17
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.64
Not both teams to score42%2.26
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Girona to score81%fair 1.24
Almeria to score70%fair 1.43
Girona clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Almeria clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Girona to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Almeria to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.5%
1-09.6%
2-19.4%
2-07.9%
0-17%
1-26.9%
Half-time / full-time
Girona / Girona29.1%
Almeria / Almeria16%
Draw / Girona15.7%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Almeria10.2%
Questions about Girona vs Almeria
Girona or Almeria: which side does the model back?
The model gives Girona the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Girona vs Almeria?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Girona vs Almeria both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Girona find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Almeria in 70%.
When do Girona play Almeria?
Girona vs Almeria starts at 15:15 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.