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Live 15 UTC
Segunda División Round 13 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Sporting GijonHomeWWLWW
Sun 8 Nov
ValladolidAwayDWLLW
422830
Sporting Gijon winDrawValladolid win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.56
1.40 : 1.16
Favourite
42%
Sporting Gijon
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.363.323.16----Bet
22Bet2.343.343.062.031.791.771.95Bet
BC.Game2.323.203.002.061.701.791.87Bet
Betwinner2.343.343.062.031.791.771.95Bet
Melbet2.343.343.062.031.791.771.95Bet
Stake2.273.253.102.041.701.831.84Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Sporting Gijon to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid are 2.36 for Sporting Gijon at 1xBet, 3.34 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.16 for Valladolid at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.06 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.79 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (Stake) and no 1.95 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

Sporting Gijon or Valladolid (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.40 : 1.16-2.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sporting Gijon, full-time Sporting Gijon
25% chance3.97fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction

Our Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction and pick

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid prediction for the Segunda División on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Sporting Gijon marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 28% and Valladolid at 31%.

The goal expectancy is 2.56 in total, split 1.40 to Sporting Gijon and 1.16 to Valladolid. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Sporting Gijon or Valladolid (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 2 points over the model figure.

Sporting Gijon average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Valladolid 2.2 and 1.4 across 5.

How many goals in Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.79.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Sporting Gijon scoring in 75% of runs and Valladolid in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Sporting Gijon and 25% for Valladolid.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-1 (9%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sporting Gijon, full-time Sporting Gijon is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

Every market rated for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 28% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Sporting Gijon to win42%2.36
Draw28%3.34
Valladolid to win31%3.16
Sporting Gijon, draw no bet58%fair 1.74
Valladolid, draw no bet42%fair 2.36

Double chance

Sporting Gijon or draw69%1.38
Valladolid or draw59%1.62
Sporting Gijon or Valladolid (no draw)72%1.35

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.06
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals53%1.79
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.83
Not both teams to score47%1.95

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Sporting Gijon to score75%fair 1.33
Valladolid to score69%fair 1.46
Sporting Gijon clean sheet31%fair 3.19
Valladolid clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Sporting Gijon to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Valladolid to win to nil23%fair 4.41

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.8%
0-19%
2-18.8%
0-07.7%
2-07.6%

Half-time / full-time

Sporting Gijon / Sporting Gijon25.2%
Valladolid / Valladolid17.8%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / Sporting Gijon15%
Draw / Valladolid11.6%

Questions about Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid

Sporting Gijon or Valladolid: which side does the model back?

The model gives Sporting Gijon the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Sporting Gijon find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Valladolid in 69%.

When do Sporting Gijon play Valladolid?

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid starts at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Sporting Gijon v ValladolidSporting Gijon or Valladolid (no draw), 72%
1.35Bet