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Live 31 UTC
Segunda División Round 13 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
BurgosHomeLWWWD
Sat 7 Nov
Celta de Vigo IIAwayLWDLD
562420
Burgos winDrawCelta de Vigo II win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.73
1.78 : 0.95
Favourite
56%
Burgos
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.683.985.101.901.951.851.87Bet
22Bet1.663.925.001.881.931.851.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Burgos to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Burgos price at 1.68, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.98 and 1xBet have Celta de Vigo II longest at 5.10.

The best-price payout across the three results is 95.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.90 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.95 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (22Bet) and no 1.87 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

56%

Our prediction

Burgos to win
StrongExpected goals 1.78 : 0.95-5.2% against the best price
Double chanceBurgos or draw
81% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.90
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Burgos, full-time Burgos
36% chance2.79fair

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II prediction

Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II prediction and best bet

The Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II prediction leans to Burgos: 56% against 20% for Celta de Vigo II, with 24% left for the draw, in the Segunda División on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.73 in total, split 1.78 to Burgos and 0.95 to Celta de Vigo II. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is burgos to win at 56%. The best price in our comparison is 1.68 at 1xBet, which implies 60%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II.

Burgos or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.18.

Burgos average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Celta de Vigo II 2.0 and 2.4 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.90.

Both teams to score is 51%: Burgos find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Celta de Vigo II in 61%. Burgos keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Celta de Vigo II 17%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 11.6%, followed by 1-1 (11%) and 2-0 (10.3%).

With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Burgos, full-time Burgos leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 56% / 24% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Burgos to win56%1.68
Draw24%3.98
Celta de Vigo II to win20%5.10
Burgos, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Celta de Vigo II, draw no bet26%fair 3.89

Double chance

Burgos or draw81%1.18
Celta de Vigo II or draw44%2.24
Burgos or Celta de Vigo II (no draw)76%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.90
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%1.95
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.87

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Burgos to score83%fair 1.20
Celta de Vigo II to score61%fair 1.63
Burgos clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Celta de Vigo II clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Burgos to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Celta de Vigo II to win to nil16%fair 6.45

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.6%
1-111%
2-010.3%
2-19.8%
0-06.5%
0-16.2%

Half-time / full-time

Burgos / Burgos35.8%
Draw / Burgos18.3%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Celta de Vigo II / Celta de Vigo II10.9%
Draw / Celta de Vigo II7.7%

Questions about Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II

Who is favourite in Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

The model gives Burgos the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Burgos find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Celta de Vigo II in 61%.

What time does Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Burgos v Celta de Vigo IIBurgos to win, 56%
1.68Bet