LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
VillarrealHomeDLWWL
0:0Half-time 0:0
ElcheAwayDDWWL691714
Villarreal winDrawElche win
LaLiga
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
VillarrealHomeDLWWLElcheAwayDDWWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.62 2.56 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 69% Villarreal
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Villarreal vs Elche betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.46 | 5.24 | 7.19 | 1.38 | 2.76 | 1.57 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Villarreal to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Villarreal price at 1.46, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.24 and 1xBet have Elche longest at 7.19.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.76 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Villarreal to win
Double chanceVillarreal or draw
87% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.38
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Villarreal, full-time Villarreal
48% chance2.10fair
Villarreal vs Elche odds movement
Villarreal win1.46unchanged
Draw5.24-0.17
Elche win7.19unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.38-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.76-0.24
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Villarreal vs Elche prediction
Villarreal vs Elche prediction and best bet
Villarreal host Elche on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the LaLiga, and the model has Villarreal at 69%, the draw at 17% and Elche at 14%: that is the Villarreal vs Elche prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.62 in total, split 2.56 to Villarreal and 1.06 to Elche. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 69% and both teams to score 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is villarreal to win at 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.46 at 1xBet, which implies 68%, so the model sits 1 points above the market.
Villarreal or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.14.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Villarreal average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Elche 1.2 and 0.4 across 5.
Villarreal vs Elche over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 69%, over 3.5 at 49%; under 2.5 is 31% and under 3.5 is 51%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.38 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Villarreal scoring in 92% of runs and Elche in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Villarreal and 8% for Elche.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Villarreal, full-time Villarreal leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Villarreal vs Elche
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Villarreal vs Elche, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Villarreal to win69%1.46
Draw17%5.24
Elche to win14%7.19
Villarreal, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Elche, draw no bet16%fair 6.13
Double chance
Villarreal or draw87%1.14
Elche or draw31%3.03
Villarreal or Elche (no draw)83%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.38
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.04
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 2.5 goals31%2.76
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.96
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.28
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.07
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Villarreal to score92%fair 1.08
Elche to score65%fair 1.53
Villarreal clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Elche clean sheet8%fair 12.99
Villarreal to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Elche to win to nil7%fair 14.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
3-17.9%
3-07.5%
1-17.3%
1-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Villarreal / Villarreal47.6%
Draw / Villarreal18.3%
Draw / Draw8.8%
Elche / Elche7.5%
Draw / Elche4.9%
Questions about Villarreal vs Elche
Who is favourite in Villarreal vs Elche?
The model gives Villarreal the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Villarreal vs Elche?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Villarreal vs Elche both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Villarreal find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Elche in 65%.
When is Villarreal vs Elche and where is the result shown?
Villarreal vs Elche starts at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.