Segunda Liga
AVSHomeWWWWL
2:1Half-time 1:0
TondelaAwayWWWLW272746
AVS winDrawTondela win
AVSHomeWWWWLTondelaAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.05 : 1.45
- Favourite
- 46% Tondela
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
AVS vs Tondela odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.48 | 3.28 | 2.05 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.81 | 1.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 4.20 | 3.47 | 1.84 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.95 | 3.45 | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.20 | 3.47 | 1.84 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.96 | 3.42 | 1.87 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tondela to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the AVS vs Tondela prediction: AVS 4.20 (22Bet), draw 3.47 (22Bet), Tondela 2.05 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.02 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.91 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Tondela or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tondela, full-time Tondela
28% chance3.60fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
AVS vs Tondela prediction
AVS vs Tondela prediction and best bet
AVS host Tondela on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Segunda Liga, and the model has Tondela at 46%, the draw at 27% and AVS at 27%: that is the AVS vs Tondela prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.50 in total, split 1.05 to AVS and 1.45 to Tondela. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for AVS vs Tondela is tondela or draw, a 73% chance. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches AVS stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Tondela show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in AVS vs Tondela? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 22Bet pay 1.80.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. AVS score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Tondela; Tondela score in 77% while AVS shut them out 24% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.5%, then 0-1 at 11.9% and 1-2 at 9.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tondela, full-time Tondela leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, AVS vs Tondela
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AVS vs Tondela, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
AVS to win27%4.20
Draw27%3.47
Tondela to win46%2.05
AVS, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Tondela, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Double chance
AVS or draw54%1.90
Tondela or draw73%1.26
AVS or Tondela (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.02
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%1.80
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.87
Not both teams to score50%1.91
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
AVS to score65%fair 1.54
Tondela to score77%fair 1.31
AVS clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Tondela clean sheet35%fair 2.86
AVS to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Tondela to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
0-111.9%
1-29.1%
0-28.6%
1-08.6%
0-08.2%
Half-time / full-time
Tondela / Tondela27.8%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / Tondela16.2%
AVS / AVS15.3%
Draw / AVS10.5%
Questions about AVS vs Tondela
Who is favourite in AVS vs Tondela?
The model gives Tondela the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
AVS vs Tondela correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
AVS vs Tondela both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. AVS find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Tondela in 77%.
When do AVS play Tondela?
AVS vs Tondela starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.