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Segunda Liga Round 9 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
TondelaHomeWWWLW
3:2Half-time 2:1
Felgueiras 1932AwayWLWDL
542620
Tondela winDrawFelgueiras 1932 win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.28
1.49 : 0.79
Favourite
54%
Tondela
Over 2.5 goals
39%
model chance
Both teams to score
43%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.763.504.452.291.572.101.66Bet
22Bet1.753.404.892.221.622.021.74Bet
BC.Game1.753.354.602.221.602.021.67Bet
Betwinner1.753.404.892.221.622.021.74Bet
Melbet1.753.404.892.221.622.021.74Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Tondela to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Tondela price at 1.76, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.50 and Melbet have Felgueiras 1932 longest at 4.89.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.10 (1xBet) and no 1.74 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

54%

Our prediction

Tondela to win
StrongWonExpected goals 1.49 : 0.79-5.3% against the best price
Double chanceTondela or draw
80% chance1.17Won
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.74Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.58fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tondela, full-time Tondela
33% chance3.05fairWon

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 odds movement

Tondela win1.76-0.02
Draw3.50-0.17
Felgueiras 1932 win4.89-0.36
Over 2.5 goals2.29-0.06
Under 2.5 goals1.62unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction and best bet

Tondela host Felgueiras 1932 on Sunday, 1 November 2026 in the Segunda Liga, and the model has Tondela at 54%, the draw at 26% and Felgueiras 1932 at 20%: that is the Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.28 in total, split 1.49 to Tondela and 0.79 to Felgueiras 1932. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 43%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is tondela to win at 54%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.76. That price implies 57%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Tondela or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.17.

Tondela average 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Felgueiras 1932 1.4 and 1.2 across 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932

On the goal lines Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 reads 67% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.62 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 43%. Tondela score in 78% of simulations against a 23% clean sheet for Felgueiras 1932; Felgueiras 1932 score in 55% while Tondela shut them out 45% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.2%, then 1-1 at 12% and 2-0 at 11.4%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tondela, full-time Tondela leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Tondela to win54%1.76
Draw26%3.50
Felgueiras 1932 to win20%4.89
Tondela, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Felgueiras 1932, draw no bet27%fair 3.69

Double chance

Tondela or draw80%1.17
Felgueiras 1932 or draw46%2.01
Tondela or Felgueiras 1932 (no draw)74%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.29
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.35
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 2.5 goals61%1.62
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score43%2.10
Not both teams to score57%1.74

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.65
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40

Team goals

Tondela to score78%fair 1.29
Felgueiras 1932 to score55%fair 1.83
Tondela clean sheet45%fair 2.20
Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Tondela to win to nil42%fair 2.39
Felgueiras 1932 to win to nil18%fair 5.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015.2%
1-112%
2-011.4%
0-010.2%
2-19%
0-18.1%

Half-time / full-time

Tondela / Tondela32.8%
Draw / Tondela18.9%
Draw / Draw17.8%
Felgueiras 1932 / Felgueiras 193210.7%
Draw / Felgueiras 19328.2%

Questions about Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932

Who is favourite in Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

The model gives Tondela the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 39%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932?

The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. Tondela find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Felgueiras 1932 in 55%.

When is Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 and where is the result shown?

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 starts at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tondela v Felgueiras 1932Tondela to win, 54%
1.76Bet