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Segunda Liga Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Felgueiras 1932HomeWLWDL
2:2Half-time 1:2
Lusitânia LourosaAwayWDWDD
393031
Felgueiras 1932 winDrawLusitânia Lourosa win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.31
1.23 : 1.08
Favourite
39%
Felgueiras 1932
Over 2.5 goals
41%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.263.023.272.231.601.901.80Bet
22Bet2.403.232.922.221.621.931.82Bet
BC.Game2.403.052.922.201.611.861.80Bet
Betwinner2.403.232.922.221.621.931.82Bet
Melbet2.413.062.962.211.611.881.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Felgueiras 1932 to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Felgueiras 1932 price at 2.41, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.23 and 1xBet have Lusitânia Lourosa longest at 3.27.

The best-price payout across the three results is 97.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.23 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (Betwinner) and no 1.82 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

70%

Our prediction

Felgueiras 1932 or Lusitânia Lourosa (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.23 : 1.08-5.8% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Felgueiras 1932, full-time Felgueiras 1932
23% chance4.35fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.55fair

Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction

Our Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 39% home, 30% draw and 31% away in the Segunda Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Expected goals are 1.23 for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.08 for Lusitânia Lourosa, a total of 2.31, which puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa is felgueiras 1932 or Lusitânia Lourosa (no draw), a 70% chance. At 1.34 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 70% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Felgueiras 1932 have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 6 conceded, Lusitânia Lourosa 2 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 6.

A low-scoring Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa reads 67% for over 1.5, 41% for over 2.5 and 20% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 59%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 22Bet pay 1.62.

Both teams to score is 48%: Felgueiras 1932 find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Lusitânia Lourosa in 66%. Felgueiras 1932 keep a clean sheet 34% of the time and Lusitânia Lourosa 29%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa: 1-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-1 (10.7%).

With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Felgueiras 1932, full-time Felgueiras 1932 is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.

All markets, Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Felgueiras 1932 to win39%2.41
Draw30%3.23
Lusitânia Lourosa to win31%3.27
Felgueiras 1932, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Lusitânia Lourosa, draw no bet45%fair 2.25

Double chance

Felgueiras 1932 or draw69%1.38
Lusitânia Lourosa or draw61%1.57
Felgueiras 1932 or Lusitânia Lourosa (no draw)70%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals41%2.23
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.93
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.76
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.04
Under 2.5 goals59%1.62
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.93
Not both teams to score52%1.82

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.58
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Felgueiras 1932 to score71%fair 1.41
Lusitânia Lourosa to score66%fair 1.52
Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Lusitânia Lourosa clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Felgueiras 1932 to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Lusitânia Lourosa to win to nil27%fair 3.72

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-012.2%
0-110.7%
0-09.9%
2-18.1%
2-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

Felgueiras 1932 / Felgueiras 193223%
Draw / Draw18.5%
Lusitânia Lourosa / Lusitânia Lourosa18.2%
Draw / Felgueiras 193214.7%
Draw / Lusitânia Lourosa12.4%

Questions about Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa

Felgueiras 1932 or Lusitânia Lourosa: which side does the model back?

The model gives Felgueiras 1932 the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 41%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Felgueiras 1932 find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Lusitânia Lourosa in 66%.

When do Felgueiras 1932 play Lusitânia Lourosa?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Felgueiras 1932 v Lusitânia LourosaFelgueiras 1932 or Lusitânia Lourosa (no draw), 70%
1.34Bet