Segunda Liga
AcademicaHomeWWWWL
4:0Half-time 2:0
LeixoesAwayWLLLL332839
Academica winDrawLeixoes win
AcademicaHomeWWWWLLeixoesAwayWLLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.61 1.23 : 1.38
- Favourite
- 39% Leixoes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Academica vs Leixoes odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.24 | 2.38 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Leixoes to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Academica vs Leixoes are 2.86 for Academica at 1xBet, 3.24 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.38 for Leixoes at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.91 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Academica or Leixoes (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Leixoes, full-time Leixoes
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Academica vs Leixoes prediction
Academica vs Leixoes prediction and best bet
The Academica vs Leixoes prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Segunda Liga on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Academica a 33% chance, Leixoes 39% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Academica are expected to score 1.23 and Leixoes 1.38, so the total line is 2.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Academica vs Leixoes is academica or Leixoes (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Academica vs Leixoes.
Academica average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Leixoes 1.2 and 1.8 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Academica vs Leixoes
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.82 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Academica score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Leixoes; Leixoes score in 75% while Academica shut them out 25% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-0 (9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Leixoes, full-time Leixoes leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Academica vs Leixoes
The grid built from 1.23 and 1.38 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Academica to win33%2.86
Draw28%3.24
Leixoes to win39%2.38
Academica, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
Leixoes, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Double chance
Academica or draw61%1.52
Leixoes or draw68%1.37
Academica or Leixoes (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.91
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.82
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.02
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Academica to score71%fair 1.41
Leixoes to score75%fair 1.34
Academica clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Leixoes clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Academica to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Leixoes to win to nil27%fair 3.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
0-110.1%
1-09%
1-28.6%
2-17.7%
0-07.4%
Half-time / full-time
Leixoes / Leixoes23.9%
Academica / Academica19.2%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Leixoes14.3%
Draw / Academica12.2%
Questions about Academica vs Leixoes
Who is favourite in Academica vs Leixoes?
The model gives Leixoes the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Academica vs Leixoes correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
Academica vs Leixoes both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Academica find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Leixoes in 75%.
What time does Academica vs Leixoes kick off?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.