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Live 31 UTC
Segunda Liga Round 8 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
FC Porto BHomeWDL
1:1Half-time 1:0
União de LeiriaAwayWLWDW
242650
FC Porto B winDrawUnião de Leiria win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.59
1.01 : 1.58
Favourite
50%
União de Leiria
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.883.381.901.951.781.801.90Bet
22Bet3.483.262.102.111.731.871.87Bet
BC.Game3.503.302.021.961.771.751.92Bet
Betwinner3.483.262.102.111.731.871.87Bet
Melbet3.483.262.102.111.731.871.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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União de Leiria to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria are 3.88 for FC Porto B at 1xBet, 3.38 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.10 for União de Leiria at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (22Bet) and no 1.92 (BC.Game).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

50%

Our prediction

União de Leiria to win
LeanExpected goals 1.01 : 1.58+5.8% against the best price
Double chanceUnião de Leiria or draw
76% chance1.28
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time União de Leiria, full-time União de Leiria
31% chance3.24fair

FC Porto B vs União de Leiria prediction

Our FC Porto B vs União de Leiria prediction and pick

The FC Porto B vs União de Leiria prediction leans to União de Leiria: 50% against 24% for FC Porto B, with 26% left for the draw, in the Segunda Liga on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

FC Porto B are expected to score 1.01 and União de Leiria 1.58, so the total line is 2.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria is união de Leiria to win, a 50% chance. At 2.10 with 22Bet the market prices it at 48%, against 50% from the model.

That gap is worth 5.8% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

União de Leiria or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.28.

Over the last 3 matches FC Porto B stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; União de Leiria show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

How many goals in FC Porto B vs União de Leiria? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.78.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from FC Porto B scoring in 64% of runs and União de Leiria in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for FC Porto B and 36% for União de Leiria.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.5%).

With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time União de Leiria, full-time União de Leiria is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market for FC Porto B vs União de Leiria

The grid built from 1.01 and 1.58 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

FC Porto B to win24%3.88
Draw26%3.38
União de Leiria to win50%2.10
FC Porto B, draw no bet32%fair 3.14
União de Leiria, draw no bet68%fair 1.47

Double chance

FC Porto B or draw50%1.81
União de Leiria or draw76%1.28
FC Porto B or União de Leiria (no draw)74%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.78
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.87
Not both teams to score48%1.92

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

FC Porto B to score64%fair 1.57
União de Leiria to score79%fair 1.26
FC Porto B clean sheet21%fair 4.85
União de Leiria clean sheet36%fair 2.75
FC Porto B to win to nil19%fair 5.29
União de Leiria to win to nil34%fair 2.99

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
0-111.9%
1-29.5%
0-29.4%
1-07.6%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

União de Leiria / União de Leiria30.9%
Draw / União de Leiria17.1%
Draw / Draw15.6%
FC Porto B / FC Porto B13.5%
Draw / FC Porto B9.3%

Questions about FC Porto B vs União de Leiria

FC Porto B or União de Leiria: which side does the model back?

The model gives União de Leiria the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 26%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

FC Porto B vs União de Leiria correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in FC Porto B vs União de Leiria?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. FC Porto B find the net in 64% of simulated matches and União de Leiria in 79%.

What time does FC Porto B vs União de Leiria kick off?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, FC Porto B v União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria to win, 50%
2.10Bet