Ekstraklasa
Legia WarszawaHomeWWDLD
1:2Half-time 0:0
Lech PoznanAwayWDWLW392734
Legia Warszawa winDrawLech Poznan win
Legia WarszawaHomeWWDLDLech PoznanAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.02 1.55 : 1.47
- Favourite
- 39% Legia Warszawa
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.44 | 2.48 | 1.67 | 2.11 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.70 | 3.63 | 2.46 | 1.69 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.44 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.50 | 1.59 | 2.24 | 1.48 | 2.46 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.70 | 3.63 | 2.46 | 1.68 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.53 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.70 | 3.63 | 2.46 | 1.68 | 2.19 | 1.56 | 2.43 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Legia Warszawa to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan prediction: Legia Warszawa 2.70 (22Bet), draw 3.63 (22Bet), Lech Poznan 2.50 (BC.Game).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.24 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (22Bet) and no 2.53 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Legia Warszawa or Lech Poznan (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Legia Warszawa, full-time Legia Warszawa
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan prediction
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 39% home, 27% draw and 35% away in the Ekstraklasa. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Legia Warszawa are expected to score 1.55 and Lech Poznan 1.47, so the total line is 3.02 goals; over 2.5 lands at 58% and BTTS at 62%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan is legia Warszawa or Lech Poznan (no draw), a 74% chance. At 1.29 with 22Bet the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Legia Warszawa stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Lech Poznan show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 64%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Legia Warszawa scoring in 79% of runs and Lech Poznan in 77%; clean sheets come at 23% for Legia Warszawa and 21% for Lech Poznan.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Legia Warszawa, full-time Legia Warszawa leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win39%2.70
Draw27%3.63
Lech Poznan to win35%2.50
Legia Warszawa, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Lech Poznan, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Double chance
Legia Warszawa or draw65%1.55
Lech Poznan or draw62%1.47
Legia Warszawa or Lech Poznan (no draw)74%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.69
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.32
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.10
Under 2.5 goals43%2.24
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.57
Not both teams to score38%2.53
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.54
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Legia Warszawa to score79%fair 1.27
Lech Poznan to score77%fair 1.30
Legia Warszawa clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Lech Poznan clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Legia Warszawa to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Lech Poznan to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-07.6%
0-17.2%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Legia Warszawa / Legia Warszawa23.8%
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan21.4%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Legia Warszawa13.2%
Draw / Lech Poznan12.3%
Questions about Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
The model gives Legia Warszawa the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Legia Warszawa find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Lech Poznan in 77%.
What time does Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan kick off?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.