Ekstraklasa
Gornik ZabrzeHomeWDDDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Legia WarszawaAwayWWDLD452827
Gornik Zabrze winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Gornik ZabrzeHomeWDDDDLegia WarszawaAwayWWDLD- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.45 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 45% Gornik Zabrze
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.28 | 3.40 | 2.09 | 1.68 | 1.85 | 1.85 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.76 | 2.02 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.85 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.76 | 2.02 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.76 | 2.02 | 1.79 | 1.83 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gornik Zabrze to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Gornik Zabrze price at 2.08, Melbet lead the draw at 3.46 and BC.Game have Legia Warszawa longest at 3.85.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.09 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Gornik Zabrze or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gornik Zabrze, full-time Gornik Zabrze
28% chance3.64fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa prediction
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa prediction and best bet
The Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa prediction leans to Gornik Zabrze: 45% against 27% for Legia Warszawa, with 28% left for the draw, in the Ekstraklasa on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.45 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.07 for Legia Warszawa, a total of 2.52, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is gornik Zabrze or draw at 73%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 73% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa.
Over the last 5 matches Gornik Zabrze stand at 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Legia Warszawa show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.79 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Gornik Zabrze score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Legia Warszawa; Legia Warszawa score in 66% while Gornik Zabrze shut them out 34% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa: 1-1 (12.5%), 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Gornik Zabrze, full-time Gornik Zabrze leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win45%2.08
Draw28%3.46
Legia Warszawa to win27%3.85
Gornik Zabrze, draw no bet62%fair 1.61
Legia Warszawa, draw no bet38%fair 2.65
Double chance
Gornik Zabrze or draw73%1.27
Legia Warszawa or draw55%1.82
Gornik Zabrze or Legia Warszawa (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.09
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%1.79
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.85
Not both teams to score49%1.98
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Gornik Zabrze to score77%fair 1.31
Legia Warszawa to score66%fair 1.52
Gornik Zabrze clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Legia Warszawa clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Gornik Zabrze to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Legia Warszawa to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-011.7%
2-19.1%
0-18.6%
2-08.5%
0-08%
Half-time / full-time
Gornik Zabrze / Gornik Zabrze27.5%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / Gornik Zabrze16%
Legia Warszawa / Legia Warszawa15.7%
Draw / Legia Warszawa10.6%
Questions about Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze or Legia Warszawa: which side does the model back?
The model gives Gornik Zabrze the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Gornik Zabrze find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Legia Warszawa in 66%.
When do Gornik Zabrze play Legia Warszawa?
Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.