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Live 31 UTC
Ekstraklasa Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Cracovia KrakowHomeLWDLL
1:1Half-time 1:1
Legia WarszawaAwayWWDLD
342739
Cracovia Krakow winDrawLegia Warszawa win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.72
1.31 : 1.41
Favourite
39%
Legia Warszawa
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.703.402.381.841.891.662.09Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Legia Warszawa to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Cracovia Krakow price at 2.70, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.40 and 1xBet have Legia Warszawa longest at 2.38.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.84 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.89 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Cracovia Krakow or Legia Warszawa (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.31 : 1.41-8.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Legia Warszawa, full-time Legia Warszawa
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa prediction

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa prediction for Saturday, 17 October 2026: 34% home, 27% draw and 39% away in the Ekstraklasa. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.72 in total, split 1.31 to Cracovia Krakow and 1.41 to Legia Warszawa. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa is cracovia Krakow or Legia Warszawa (no draw), a 73% chance. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 73% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Cracovia Krakow have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 10 conceded, Legia Warszawa 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 4.

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.84.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Cracovia Krakow score in 73% of simulations against a 27% clean sheet for Legia Warszawa; Legia Warszawa score in 76% while Cracovia Krakow shut them out 24% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%, followed by 0-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Legia Warszawa, full-time Legia Warszawa leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Cracovia Krakow to win34%2.70
Draw27%3.40
Legia Warszawa to win39%2.38
Cracovia Krakow, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Legia Warszawa, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

Cracovia Krakow or draw62%1.50
Legia Warszawa or draw66%1.40
Cracovia Krakow or Legia Warszawa (no draw)73%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.84
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%1.89
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.66
Not both teams to score44%2.09

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Cracovia Krakow to score73%fair 1.37
Legia Warszawa to score76%fair 1.32
Cracovia Krakow clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Legia Warszawa clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Cracovia Krakow to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Legia Warszawa to win to nil25%fair 4.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
0-19.3%
1-08.6%
1-28.6%
2-18%
0-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Legia Warszawa / Legia Warszawa23.3%
Cracovia Krakow / Cracovia Krakow20.3%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Legia Warszawa13.8%
Draw / Cracovia Krakow12.4%

Questions about Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa

Who is favourite in Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa?

The model gives Legia Warszawa the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Cracovia Krakow find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Legia Warszawa in 76%.

When is Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa and where is the result shown?

Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warszawa starts at 18:15 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Cracovia Krakow v Legia WarszawaCracovia Krakow or Legia Warszawa (no draw), 73%
1.26Bet