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Live 16 UTC
Ekstraklasa Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Pogon SzczecinHomeWWWW
4:3Half-time 2:2
Radomiak RadomAwayLLLLL
592219
Pogon Szczecin winDrawRadomiak Radom win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.06
2.01 : 1.05
Favourite
59%
Pogon Szczecin
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.673.924.441.562.151.612.18Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Pogon Szczecin to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction: Pogon Szczecin 1.67 (1xBet), draw 3.92 (1xBet), Radomiak Radom 4.44 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.56 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.15 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.18 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

59%

Our prediction

Pogon Szczecin to win
StrongExpected goals 2.01 : 1.05-0.8% against the best price
Double chancePogon Szczecin or draw
81% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.56
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pogon Szczecin, full-time Pogon Szczecin
38% chance2.60fair

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction, who wins and at what price

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom prediction for the Ekstraklasa on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Pogon Szczecin a narrow favourite at 59%, with the draw at 22% and Radomiak Radom at 19%.

Pogon Szczecin are expected to score 2.01 and Radomiak Radom 1.05, so the total line is 3.06 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is pogon Szczecin to win at 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.67. That price implies 60%, 0 points over the model figure.

Pogon Szczecin or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.17.

Pogon Szczecin average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 4, Radomiak Radom 1.4 and 3.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.56 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Pogon Szczecin scoring in 87% of runs and Radomiak Radom in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Pogon Szczecin and 13% for Radomiak Radom.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.9%, then 1-1 at 9.9% and 2-0 at 9.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Pogon Szczecin, full-time Pogon Szczecin leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Pogon Szczecin to win59%1.67
Draw22%3.92
Radomiak Radom to win19%4.44
Pogon Szczecin, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Radomiak Radom, draw no bet24%fair 4.20

Double chance

Pogon Szczecin or draw81%1.17
Radomiak Radom or draw41%2.08
Pogon Szczecin or Radomiak Radom (no draw)78%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.56
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals41%2.15
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.61
Not both teams to score43%2.18

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Pogon Szczecin to score87%fair 1.15
Radomiak Radom to score65%fair 1.54
Pogon Szczecin clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Radomiak Radom clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Pogon Szczecin to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Radomiak Radom to win to nil12%fair 8.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.9%
1-19.9%
2-09.5%
1-09.4%
3-16.7%
3-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Pogon Szczecin / Pogon Szczecin38.4%
Draw / Pogon Szczecin18%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Radomiak Radom / Radomiak Radom10.7%
Draw / Radomiak Radom7.1%

Questions about Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

The model gives Pogon Szczecin the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Pogon Szczecin find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Radomiak Radom in 65%.

When do Pogon Szczecin play Radomiak Radom?

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Pogon Szczecin v Radomiak RadomPogon Szczecin to win, 59%
1.67Bet