Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction

Our Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction and pick

The Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction leans to Gornik Zabrze: 62% against 17% for Piast Gliwice, with 21% left for the draw, in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.02 for Gornik Zabrze and 0.96 for Piast Gliwice, a total of 2.98, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 54%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Gornik Zabrze to win is the main selection, rated 62%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.55. That price implies 65%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice.

For a safer line, gornik Zabrze or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.12.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Gornik Zabrze stand at 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Piast Gliwice show 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 1xBet pay 1.69.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Gornik Zabrze scoring in 87% of runs and Piast Gliwice in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Gornik Zabrze and 13% for Piast Gliwice.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice: 2-0 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Gornik Zabrze, full-time Gornik Zabrze is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.